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15:40 Bath

Thursday 2 July 2020

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1516:5017:2017:50

Swineford Handicap

  • 4YO plus  |   Class 4  |   5f 160y  |   Good (Good to Firm in places)  |   9 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:42  |   Winning time: 1m 10.88s
1st
Horse silk
8
(2)
Michaels Choice
48-12
10/1
T: W JarvisJ: David Probert
Raced keenly, led early, prominent, led again over 1f out, ran on well op 7/1 tchd 9/1
2nd
Horse silk
1 ½
2
(9)
May Remain
59-6
6/1
T: George BakerJ: Cieren Fallon (3)
Held up in rear, headway 2f out, went 2nd entering final furlong, edged right, no impression on winner towards finish op 7/1
3rd
Horse silk
1 ¾
6
(6)
Show Me The Bubbly
48-13
10/1
T: J G M O'SheaJ: Gavin Ashton (7)
Mid-division, good headway to lead 2f out, headed over 1f out, stayed on same pace inside final furlong op 16/1
4th
Horse silk
¾
3
(8)
Boom The Groom
99-6
8/1
T: A W CarrollJ: Tom Marquand
Prominent, outpaced over 2f out, kept on without threatening inside final furlong op 6/1 tchd 11/2 and tchd 15/2
5th
Horse silk
¾
1
(1)
Real Estate
59-7
5/4f
T: M J AttwaterJ: Rossa Ryan
Mid-division, not clear run, lost place and hampered over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, no impression op 13/8
6th
Horse silk
¾
4
(5)
Union Rose
89-5
5/1
T: R HarrisJ: K T O'Neill
Mid-division, ridden and switched right over 2f out, never on terms op 4/1 tchd 11/2
7th
Horse silk
¾
5
(4)
Moonraker
89-2
25/1
T: M ApplebyJ: Theodore Ladd (3)
Last to break, in rear on outside, never figured op 22/1 tchd 33/1
8th
Horse silk
½
7
(3)
More Than Likely
48-12
100/1
T: Mrs N S EvansJ: J F Egan
Led, headed 2f out, soon weakened op 50/1
9th
Horse silk
1 ½
9
(7)
Venture
48-11
14/1
T: T WardJ: Laura Coughlan (7)
Soon prominent on outside, ridden 2f out, weakened entering final furlong op 12/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£10.20Pl:£2.50, £1.80, £2.90EX:£66.10Trifecta:£646.10Tricast:£624.85SF:£69.07Swingers:£7.20, £6.50, £9.10

Forecasts

Real Estate (5/4), Union Rose (5/1), May Remain (6/1), Boom The Groom (8/1), Michaels Choice (10/1), Show Me The Bubbly (10/1), Venture (14/1), Moonraker (25/1), More Than Likely (100/1)

Verdict

A tough one to call as several come into this with solid claims; not least Real Estate, who was unlucky to be denied a run when behind Union Rose over C&D last week. A trouble-free passage might well see that from reversed this time. However, a chance is taken on SHOW ME THE BUBBLY now that she's got the benefit of a seasonal run to draw upon. This course suits the filly well and, with conditions to suit, she looks good value in a closely knit handicap. By contrast, Michaels Choice might be better once his fitness is topped up but he along with More Than Likely is worth checking in the betting too.
  1. Show Me The Bubbly
  2. Real Estate
  3. Union Rose

Prize Money

1st: £4,690.002nd: £1,396.003rd: £697.004th: £349.00

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