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17:20 Curragh

Saturday 29 June 2019

All13:4514:2014:5515:3016:0516:4017:2018:00

Dubai Duty Free Irish Derby (Group 1)

Off time: 17:21 | Winning time: 2m 31.5s

1^st

(2)

Sovereign

39-0

33/1

T: A P O'BrienJ: P B Beggy

Soon led and clear of remainder with 2nd, pushed along 2f out, soon ridden to assert, stayed on well final furlong, comfortably op 40/1

2^nd

(4)

Anthony Van Dyck

39-0

5/4f

T: A P O'BrienJ: R L Moore

Chased leaders, soon moderate 4th, pushed along under 4f out, moderate 3rd over 2f out, 2nd inside final furlong and kept on without troubling winner op 11/8

3^rd

2 ½

(7)

Norway

39-0

16/1

T: A P O'BrienJ: J A Heffernan

Led early, raced in 2nd and clear of remainder, pushed along over 3f out, not match winner from 2f out, dropped to 3rd inside final furlong and one pace, just held on for 3rd op 18/1

4^th

(1)

Madhmoon

39-0

5/2

T: K PrendergastJ: C D Hayes

Soon raced in moderate 5th, moderate 6th halfway, moderate 5th again straight, pushed along over 2f out, moderate 4th and no impression over 1f out, kept on without threatening inside final furlong, just failed for 3rd

5^th

(5)

Guaranteed

39-0

50/1

T: J S BolgerJ: K J Manning

Chased leaders, soon moderate 3rd, pushed along straight, moderate 4th over 2f out, dropped to moderate 5th and one pace over 1f out tchd 40/1

6^th

4 ½

(8)

Broome

39-0

5/2

T: A P O'BrienJ: D O'Brien

Slowly into stride, soon raced in moderate 6th, moderate 5th halfway, pushed along under 4f out, dropped to 6th again straight, no extra over 2f out op 11/4 tchd 9/4

7^th

2 ¾

(6)

Il Paradiso

39-0

40/1

T: A P O'BrienJ: W M Lordan

Dwelt, towards rear, pushed along under 4f out, no extra from over 2f out op 50/1

8^th

9 ½

(3)

Rakan

39-0

18/1

T: D K WeldJ: Jim Crowley

Waited with, soon towards rear, some headway between horses under 4f out, no impression straight, no extra over 2f out op 16/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:€43.30Pl:€6.40, €1.02, €3.00EX:€120.70Trifecta:€771.90Tricast:€766.02SF:€78.50

Forecasts

Anthony Van Dyck (5/4), Madhmoon (5/2), Broome (5/2), Norway (16/1), Rakan (18/1), Sovereign (33/1), Il Paradiso (40/1), Guaranteed (50/1)

A case can be made that Madhmoon would have finished closer or possibly won the Epsom Derby with a clear passage earlier this month but with Aidan O'Brien's ability to improve his three-year-olds throughout the campaign, slight preference is for ANTHONY VAN DYCK. The son of Galileo could be hard to beat if he continues his progression and he's the pick of stable jockey Ryan Moore. Broome was involved in the finish that day and is another to consider while Rakan is one at a bigger price that may be able to outrun his odds.