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18:45 Newcastle

Wednesday 17 October 2018

All17:1017:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

Download The App At 188Bet/British EBF Novice Stakes

Off time: 18:47 | Winning time: 1m 14.99s

1^st

(8)

Jack Berry House

29-2

80/1

T: M & D EasterbyJ: Nathan Evans

Slowly away towards rear, headway 2f out, effort when not clear run inside final furlong, switched left and ran to lead close home op 66/1

2^nd

(9)

Drogon

29-9

11/10f

T: Tom DascombeJ: R Kingscote

Led, ridden over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, headed close home tchd Evens and tchd 5/4

3^rd

(11)

Liquid Lunch

29-2

4/1

T: R A FaheyJ: T Hamilton

Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, every chance inside final furlong, not quicken towards finish op 9/2

4^th

2 ¼

(12)

Spokesman

29-2

12/1

T: R VarianJ: J Mitchell

In touch, ridden and headway over 1f out, kept on final furlong tchd 11/1 and tchd 14/1

5^th

1 ½

(6)

Scottish Blade

29-2

4/1

T: C HillsJ: J Fanning

Tracked leader, ridden 2f out, faded inside final furlong op 5/1 tchd 6/1

6^th

(3)

High Contrast

29-2

8/1

T: K R BurkeJ: P J McDonald

Raced green towards rear, pushed along over 1f out, never nearer op 6/1

7^th

(10)

Zalmi Angel

28-11

50/1

T: Adrian NichollsJ: A Mullen

In touch, ridden 2f out, not trouble leaders tchd 66/1

8^th

(1)

Slaithwaite

29-2

100/1

T: R Fell & S MurrayJ: Jamie Gormley (3)

In rear, outpaced over 2f out tchd 200/1

9^th

(7)

See My Baby Jive

28-11

100/1

T: D W WhillansJ: Rowan Scott (3)

Close up, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong tchd 200/1

10^th

(4)

Andies Armies

29-2

250/1

T: L WilliamsonJ: Patrick Pilley (3)

Dwelt in touch, ridden and weakened over 1f out op 80/1

11^th

1 ¾

(5)

Jean Merci

29-2

28/1

T: K DalgleishJ: G Lee

In touch, pushed along and weakened over 1f out

12^th

(2)

Tuscarora Deep

29-2

25/1

T: J & S QuinnJ: Jason Hart

Raced green in rear and soon outpaced tchd 20/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£46.10Pl:£15.80, £1.10, £1.60EX:£318.80Trifecta:£2,463.10SF:£170.61Swingers:£15.20, £22.70, £1.80

Forecasts

Drogon (11/10), Liquid Lunch (4/1), Scottish Blade (4/1), High Contrast (8/1), Spokesman (12/1), Tuscarora Deep (25/1), Jean Merci (28/1), Zalmi Angel (50/1), Jack Berry House (80/1), Slaithwaite (100/1), See My Baby Jive (100/1), Andies Armies (250/1)

The standout horse on both form and ratings is Drogon, but he does come with a few risks attached, folding tamely over 1m at Haydock latest and with effectiveness to prove over 6f on Tapeta (first attempt at either). Furthermore, his trainer Tom Dascombe has a modest 16% strike-rate (4-25) at this track, and front-running tactics are never the easiest to adopt at Newcastle, so jockey Richard Kingscote will need to be firmly on his mettle. Therefore, for small stakes we'll look elsewhere and take a chance on the John Dance-owned newcomer HIGH CONTRAST. He is a half-brother to a couple of 1m AW winners and cost 60,000gns as a foal.