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18:10 Kempton

Wednesday 20 December 2017

All16:1016:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:40

ROA/Racing Post Owners' Jackpot Handicap

Off time: 18:13 | Winning time: 1m 37.13s

1^st

(6)

Dance Teacher

38-13

14/1

T: D R C ElsworthJ: L P Keniry

Tracked leaders, ridden to challenge over 1f out, led entering final furlong, ran on

2^nd

(2)

Chestnut Fire

59-4

10/1

T: D M LoughnaneJ: Josephine Gordon

Mid-division, switched right and effort 2f out, went 2nd inside final furlong, ran on, not reach winner

3^rd

(13)

Ice Royal

49-9

15/2

T: J A OsborneJ: D C Costello

Mid-division, hanging right when switched left and headway over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, went 3rd close home

4^th

(7)

Lacan

68-10

9/2f

T: B R JohnsonJ: L Morris

Held up in mid-division, ridden over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong, nearest finish

5^th

(10)

Eltezam

49-2

5/1

T: Mrs A J PerrettJ: Joey Haynes

Prominent, led over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, not quicken inside final furlong

6^th

(1)

Bluff Crag

48-10

33/1

T: P J McBrideJ: S Donohoe

Tracked leaders, ridden over 1f out, not clear run inside final furlong, no impression after

7^th

(3)

Assanilka

38-9

11/1

T: H J L DunlopJ: K T O'Neill

Soon led, headed over 6f out, stayed handy, ridden 2f out, no extra final 100 yards

8^th

(4)

Jumping Jack

38-12

20/1

T: C GordonJ: K Shoemark

Held up towards rear, ridden over 3f out, headway and switched right inside final furlong, never on terms

9^th

(8)

Golden Wedding

59-2

7/1

T: Eve Johnson HoughtonJ: Charles Bishop

Led early, led again over 6f out, headed over 1f out, no extra final 100 yards

10^th

1 ¾

(5)

Fighting Temeraire

49-5

14/1

T: D K IvoryJ: A Kirby

Last to break, held up in rear, some headway final furlong, no chance

11^th

3 ¾

(14)

Intimate Art

39-6

11/1

T: A M BaldingJ: Jason Watson (7)

Held up in mid-division on outside, ridden over 3f out, weakened from over 2f out

12^th

3 ¼

(9)

Native Soldier

38-11

28/1

T: J L FlintJ: Daniel Muscutt

Mid-division, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened

13^th

(12)

Medicean El Diablo

48-9

15/2

T: J C FoxJ: Tom Marquand

Towards rear on outside, took keen hold, ridden over 3f out, soon beaten

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Non-Runners

(11)

Gentlemen⁷

Weight: 9-3| Age: 6

T: P S McEntee J: Danny Brock

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£9.10Pl:£3.60, £4.00, £2.70EX:£192.00Trifecta:£1,548.10Tricast:£1,185.86SF:£145.98Swingers:£47.10, £13.70, £16.90

Forecasts

Lacan (9/2), Eltezam (5/1), Golden Wedding (7/1), Ice Royal (15/2), Medicean El Diablo (15/2), Chestnut Fire (10/1), Assanilka (11/1), Intimate Art (11/1), Dance Teacher (14/1), Fighting Temeraire (14/1), Gentlemen (16/1), Jumping Jack (20/1), Native Soldier (28/1), Bluff Crag (33/1)

A tough puzzle to solve, so the simplest approach is probably just to nail the colours to the mast of one horse (at small stakes), and hope it's the right choice. Therefore, we plump for the Brett Johnson trained, Luke Morris ridden LACAN. He hasn't been rushed since scoring snugly over C&D in early November, and a subsequent rise of 5lb looks more than fair. He was a winner off a mark as high as 93 back in May 2015 for Marco Botti (currently rated 74), and whilst it would be stretching it too say that he has plenty in hand of the handicapper, he certainly has room for further upward progress. Of the others Dance Teacher is unexposed, whilst Golden Wedding would represent a sporting each-way shout at fairly rewarding odds.