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15:20 ParisLongchamp
Sunday 6 October 2024
All12:5513:3014:0514:4015:2016:0516:4017:1517:50
Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Group 1)
- 4YO plus | 1m 3f 204y | 16 Runners | Turf
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Won a heavy-ground course Group 2 on return in April and bounced back from a lesser run in the Ganay with a career-best second to Auguste Rodin in the Prince of Wales's at Royal Ascot (1¼m, good to firm) in June. Something presumably not right when down the field in International at York since.
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Sprung a bit of a surprise in the Group 1 Ganay here (10.5f, soft) in the spring. Beaten on both starts since but he actually produced a career best under a Group 1 penalty when second in a 1¼m course Group 2 last month. This demands even more, though.
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Down the field in this 12 months ago but he looked better than ever when warming up for this year's renewal with a win in the Grosser Preis von Baden (1½m, good) last month, a race used as a stepping stone to Arc glory by fellow German-trained colt Torquator Tasso in 2021.
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High-class colt who built on his excellent second to City of Troy in the Eclipse at Sandown (1¼m, soft) when a 5-length winner of the Grosser Preis von Berlin at Hoppegarten in August, proving well suited by the step up to 1½m. Leading form chance under Japanese legend Yutaka Take.
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Three-time Group winner over around 15f here this year but he was a below-form fifth when dropped to 1½m in the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud on penultimate start. Surely vulnerable to speedier types unless the ground rides very testing.
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Won last year's St Leger before finishing fifth to Ace Impact in this. Built on his Royal Ascot reappearance fifth when winning the Royal Whip at the Curragh in August but only third when odds-on for the Prix Foy over C&D since. Los Angeles looks very much the Ballydoyle number one.
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Has developed into a very smart filly as a 4-y-o, collecting her second Group 1 success of the year when proving ¾ length too strong for Aventure in the Prix Vermeille over C&D (good to soft) 3 weeks ago. Supplemented for €120,000 earlier in the week. Handy draw. Should go well.
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Made it 4-4 for the season (3 of them at Group 1 level) when shading a tight finish in the Prix Jean Romanet at Deauville (1¼m) in August. Has the form to go well but she's drawn the outside stall and her stamina has be taken on trust on this first attempt at 1½m on her 18th career start.
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Very impressive when seeing off 14 rivals, including Sosie and Sunway, in the Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly in June. Might have needed his first outing since then when 3½ lengths third to Sosie and Delius in Prix Niel over C&D 21 days ago. No surprise were he to bounce back to form with a bang.
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Very smart Japanese-trained colt who warmed for up for this with a good third (Los Angeles a head back in fourth) to Economics in the Irish Champion at Leopardstown (1¼m), finishing well. Another who has to enter calculations.
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Runner-up to Los Angeles in the Irish Derby. Also a creditable 1¾ lengths third of 7 to Jan Brueghel in St Leger at Doncaster (14.5f, good) last time but another placing is surely the best he can hope for here.
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Progressive son of Frankel who won his first 3 starts and has acquitted himself well when placed at Group level over C&D on his last 2 starts, albeit finishing behind Sosie on both occasions. His trainer is seeking a third success in this since 2020.
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Fine third to Look de Vega in the Prix du Jockey Club in June and 2-2 over C&D since, namely the Grand Prix de Paris in July and Prix Niel (by 1½ lengths from Delius; Look de Vega third) last month. Should make a bold bid to provide Andre Fabre with a ninth win in this race.
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Very smart colt who was placed in the Epsom Derby before seeing off Sunway to win the Irish version. Good effort to defy a Group 1 penalty in the Voltigeur at York in August and fine fourth to Economics in the Irish Champion last time considering the drop back to 1¼m didn't look ideal. Big player.
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Just touched off in the Diane before landing a C&D Group 2 win in July. Not in the same form when well behind Bluestocking and Aventure in the Prix Vermeille over C&D since. She might have needed that after 10 weeks off but still hard to make a case for.
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Bagged the Group 2 Pomone at Deauville in August before posting a career best when ¾-length second of 12 to Bluestocking in Prix Vermeille over C&D (good to soft) 21 days ago. 3-y-o fillies have a pretty good record in this over the years. Respected.
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Forecasts
Look De Vega (4/1), Sosie (4/1), Delius (8/1), Shin Emperor (9/1), Bluestocking (9/1), Los Angeles (12/1), Mqse De Sevigne (13/1), Al Riffa (15/1), Zarakem (18/1), Aventure (22/1), Fantastic Moon (25/1), Continuous (33/1), Sunway (35/1), Haya Zark (40/1), Survie (50/1), Sevenna's Knight (60/1)
A very open Arc. SOSIE saw off a couple of today's rivals in the Prix Niel last month and can make it a perfect 4-4 at Longchamp and provide Andre Fabre with a record-extending ninth success in the race. Fellow 3-y-o Los Angeles ran a cracker over a trip too short in the Irish Champion and is feared most back at 1½m. Vermeille-winner Bluestocking is rock solid and is third on the list ahead of Al Riffa.
Prize Money
1st: €3,150,000.002nd: €1,000,000.003rd: €500,000.004th: €350,000.005th: €143,000.00
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