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15:30 Newcastle

Saturday 26 June 2021

All13:1513:4514:2014:5515:3016:0516:4017:10

William Hill Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Off time: 15:33 | Winning time: 3m 31.88s

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(12)

Trueshan⁵¹

Age: 5| Weight: 10-4| J: Rhys Clutterbuck⁽⁵⁾| T: A King| OR: 118| D

5/2

Stormed clear to win Ascot's Long Distance Cup in October and returned with encouraging second in Ormonde at Chester. Has won on tapeta and player back up in trip despite conceding weight all round.

Form: 41811-2

(3)

Mildenberger¹²⁶

Age: 6| Weight: 9-11| J: F Norton| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 111| D

11/1

Smart horse who kickstarted 2021 with Wolverhampton victory before running with credit in a Saudi Arabian handicap when last seen 126 days ago. Should be thereabouts once more. One of five for yard.

Form: 2485-16

(9)

Rainbow Dreamer^p³⁰

Age: 8| Weight: 9-10| J: Jim Crowley| T: A King| OR: 110| D

33/1

Smart gelding who bagged 2m Kempton conditions race in February. Below par both runs on turf since though at Newbury and Sandown. Needs to bounce back.

Form: 3-21454

(5)

Watersmeet¹³¹

Age: 10| Weight: 9-3| J: J Fanning| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 103| D

50/1

Smart veteran who arrives on back of creditable fourth of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (16.6f, 25/1). Off 131 days and more is needed in this deeper contest, however. One of Johnston team.

Form: 321P5/4

(2)

Themaxwecan¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-2| J: S De Sousa| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 102| BF| D

33/1

As good as ever when landing valuable prize at Musselburgh (1¾m) on return but turned in poor effort when fourteenth in handicap at Royal Ascot (14.2f) 11 days ago. Bit to prove on his tapeta bow.

Form: 852-130

(4)

Reshoun^v¹¹^{(ex 5)}

Age: 7| Weight: 9-2| J: Andrea Atzeni| T: Ian Williams| OR: 97| D

20/1

Very useful stayer who posted a career best when game 66/1-winner of handicap at Royal Ascot (20f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Carries 5 lb penalty but not taken lightly in his current mood.

Form: 1600-01

(11)

Dubious Affair¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-0| J: J P Spencer| T: C Fellowes| OR: 100

11/2

Enjoyed excellent 2020, bagging three handicaps, and returned with unlucky second at Royal Ascot (14.2f) 11 days ago, just failing having had to weave through. Big player off same mark on tapeta bow.

Form: 11240-2

(20)

Lucky Deal^b¹¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-0| J: Andrew Breslin⁽⁵⁾| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 100| CD

66/1

C&D winner but tried blinkered when below form behind Reshoun in handicap at Royal Ascot (20f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Needs to get back on track.

Form: 533600

(6)

Sir Chauvelin^h³⁸⁵

Age: 9| Weight: 9-0| J: P Mulrennan| T: J S Goldie| OR: 100| C| D

100/1

Smart stayer who was placed in this event in 2018. Usually goes very well here but last in Sagaro Stakes over C&D when last seen out 12 months ago. Hood back on for return and no forlorn hope.

Form: 7034/30-

(14)

Island Brave¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 9-0| J: Ray Dawson⁽³⁾| T: H Main| OR: 100| CD

16/1

Signed off for 2020 with C&D win and has continued in decent nick, ninth to Reshoun in handicap at Royal Ascot (20f, 125/1) 11 days ago. One for the shortlist.

Form: 31-4569

(18)

Alright Sunshine^v⁴³

Age: 6| Weight: 8-13| J: Billy Garritty⁽³⁾| T: K Dalgleish| OR: 99| D

20/1

Visored and cashed in on a reduced mark to land 6-runner handicap at Hamilton (12.1f, good to soft) 43 days ago. Effective at this longer trip but more is needed up 2 lb in this stronger contest.

Form: 890-851

(15)

Hochfeld¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-13| J: Connor Beasley| T: C & M Johnston| OR: 99

28/1

Scored at Nottingham and unlucky not to finish closer when third in Chester Cup. Posted another good effort when seventh at Royal Ascot (1m6f) so he's one to consider from the Johnston quintet.

Form: 812357

(8)

Grandmaster Flash^p,t⁵⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 8-11| J: S M Levey| T: J P O'Brien| OR: 97| D

14/1

Irish raider who chalked up back-to-back wins at Dundalk this spring before shaping as if still in form when ninth of 13 in handicap at Chester (18.6f) 50 days ago, prominent to 3f out. Considered.

Form: 0-73119

(7)

Australis²¹

Age: 5| Weight: 8-10| J: David Egan| T: R Varian| OR: 96| D

11/1

Useful stayer who was runner-up in this event 12 months ago. Best on AW so no forlorn hope now he returns here after two below-par efforts on turf. Lively outsider.

Form: 22-1704

(16)

Stargazer⁸⁴

Age: 8| Weight: 8-10| J: P Hanagan| T: P A Kirby| OR: 96| CD

33/1

C&D winner who recorded respectable fifth of 13 to Themaxwecan in handicap at Musselburgh (14f, good) 84 days ago, faring best of those held up. This demands more, however.

Form: 8-77335

(17)

Nicholas T^h1¹⁴^{(ex 5)}

Age: 9| Weight: 8-10| J: Ben Robinson| T: J S Goldie| OR: 91| C

33/1

Signed off for 2020 with victory here and back to winning ways in 1m4f York handicap fortnight ago. Should prove effective at this longer trip and much respected under 5 lb penalty. Hood on.

Form: 01-6371

(19)

Rajinsky³⁵

Age: 5| Weight: 8-7| J: T Eaves| T: Tom Dascombe| OR: 93| D

16/1

Arrives in great nick, scoring at Ripon before runner-up in 2m handicap at Haydock last time. Nudged up 2 lb but still not taken lightly.

Form: 290-412

(1)

Galata Bridge¹¹

Age: 4| Weight: 8-7| J: L Morris| T: Dr R D P Newland| OR: 93| C

11/1

Course winner who recorded good sixth in handicap at Royal Ascot (14.2f) 11 days ago, leading long way. Can race off 3 lb lower mark now so he must enter calculations up in trip.

Form: 1110-26

(10)

Mancini^v¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 8-7| J: David Probert| T: Ian Williams| OR: 93| D

40/1

Useful stayer who turned in respectable fourteenth to stable-companion Reshoun in handicap at Royal Ascot (20f) 11 days ago. Makes tapeta debut with visor back on but bit more is needed.

Form: 6130-00

(13)

Just Hubert¹¹

Age: 5| Weight: 8-6| J: G Lee| T: W Muir & C Grassick| OR: 92| D

14/1

Useful stayer who has resumed in good order, set plenty to do when eleventh to Reshoun in handicap at Royal Ascot (20f) 11 days ago. Enters calculations.

Form: 1820-30

Result Amended

Island Brave - Original Position 3rd. Amended Position 4th.

Rajinsky - Original Position 4th. Amended Position 3rd.

Forecasts

Trueshan (5/2), Dubious Affair (11/2), Mildenberger (11/1), Australis (11/1), Galata Bridge (11/1), Grandmaster Flash (14/1), Just Hubert (14/1), Rajinsky (16/1), Island Brave (16/1), Alright Sunshine (20/1), Reshoun (20/1), Hochfeld (28/1), Nicholas T (33/1), Rainbow Dreamer (33/1), Stargazer (33/1), Themaxwecan (33/1), Mancini (40/1), Watersmeet (50/1), Lucky Deal (66/1), Sir Chauvelin (100/1)

A cracking renewal of the Plate. DUBIOUS AFFAIR made giant strides for Charlie Fellowes in 2020 and looks ready to claim her biggest prize yet given she can race off the same mark as when an unlucky Royal Ascot second. Trueshan has an official mark of 118 to overcome but Alan King's high-class 5-y-o is still feared most with more in the locker. Just Hubert and Australis are outsiders worth a look.