Favourites Brazil face South Korea in the round of 16 and Joe Townsend picks out seven stat-based tips to include in a BuildABet.
- Brazil 2+ goals
- Casemiro 2+ total shots
- Choe Gue-Sung 1+ shots on target
- 3+ South Korea corners
What does the Infogol expected goals (xG) model predict?
Brazil 2+ goals
Brazil may have only scored three times in the group stage but they racked up 6.66 xG, an average of 2.22 per game.
Against a South Korea defence that conceded three against Ghana they should find the net at least twice.
Casemiro 2+ total shots
Casemiro is not a man normally associated with attacking threat but Brazil's combative central midfielder has taken five shots in just two starts so far.
Casemiro 1+ shots on target
Two of those five attempts have found the target, including his late winner against Switzerland which effectively secured qualification.
Choe Gue-Sung 1+ shots on target
Choe Gue-Sung has looked a constant threat for South Korea in Qatar, taking nine attempts on goal and hitting the target on five occasions.
Choe Gue-Sung 1+ headed shots on target
He scored twice with his head in their unlucky defeat by Ghana and will be a handful in the air again any time the underdogs get the ball in the box.
3+ South Korea corners
South Korea had at least three corners in all three of their group matches, while Brazil's opponents also managed at least three in all of their fixtures.
3+ corners each team
To take this angle slightly further, Brazil have easily surpassed three corners themselves too, making both these corner selections extremely tempting.
Odds correct at 1530 GMT (04/12/22)
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