Mark O'Haire has a preview and best bets as Premier League title-holders Liverpool head to relegation-battling Fulham on Super Sunday.
Liverpool v Fulham recommended bets
1pt Liverpool to win and under 4.5 goals at 7/8
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Fulham v Liverpool betting tips
- 16:30 GMT on Sky Sports Premier League
- Match odds: Home 17/2 | Draw 5/1 | Away 1/3
Mohamed Salah became Liverpool’s top scorer in the Champions League as the Reds were held at Midtjylland in midweek. With top spot in the group already secured, Jurgen Klopp named the Merseysiders’ youngest Champions League starting XI and was rewarded with another decent display before attention turned towards Sunday afternoon’s showdown.
Liverpool have been blighted by injuries to key first-team players this season, but have made light of the situation, and the patched-up side from Wednesday extended a fine recent run across all competitions of just one defeat in 13. In Premier League duty alone, the Reds are off the top only on goal-difference having won seven of 11 matches. Crisis? What crisis?
Well, if we’re being critical, Klopp’s charges have failed to really fire on their domestic travels. The visitors have succeeded in a solitary Premier League game as guests (W1-D3-L1), compared to their perfect Anfield record, however they have a decent opportunity to enhance that return when travelling to Craven Cottage.
Since the beginning of 2018/19, Liverpool have posted wonderful W18-D2-L1 figures away at bottom-half Premier League teams – an 86% win ratio that is reflected in their skinny 1/3 odds to triumph in the capital. But what’s most noticeable out of those 21 tussles is the sheer lack of high-scoring contests that have played out.
Only six of those fixtures featured over 3.5 goals and just one match ended with five or more, with the Liverpool victory alongside under 4.5 goals paying out on 17 (81%) occasions. While the pre-match quotes give Liverpool a 75% chance of victory, adding under 4.5 goals at 7/8 with Betway is rated at just a 53% chance.
There’s a fair degree of discrepancy between the two and I’m happy to take the plunge and punt the Reds to succeed in a relatively low-scoring clash. We have the 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 4-0, plus the 2-1 and 3-1 correct scores onside, an outcome that’s landed in six of Fulham’s eight defeats since the Cottagers returned to the top flight.
Scott Parker’s team have displayed small signs of progress since they began to bed in a system to suit their summer signings.
Nevertheless, there’s an obvious gulf in quality between the two sides and I suspect the visitors will be happy to close out the contest once ahead, knowing that Tottenham lie in wait at Anfield only three days later.
Fulham have fallen short in four of their five opening Premier League home games, shipping two goals or more on each occasion - a repeat is likely to prove unsurmountable here.
I’m happy to get an attractive price on supporting the away success on Sunday.
Score prediction: Fulham 0-2 Liverpool (Sky Bet odds: 7/1)
Odds correct at 1500 GMT (10/12/20)
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