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Euro 2020 qualifying preview: Free tips, predictions & best bets for Friday's action
The Euro 2020 qualifiers come to a conclusion this international break. Tom Carnduff picks out three best bets for Friday's action.
Recommended bets
1pt Tigran Barseghyan to score anytime in Armenia v Greece at 4/1
1pt Over 3.5 goals in Bosnia v Italy at 23/10
1pt Sweden to beat Romania at 8/5
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
Armenia v Greece
I appreciate that this wouldn't be the first game you'd look to but there is great value in the goalscorer market in Armenia's clash with Greece.
The hosts are relying on a major slip-up from Finland alongside two wins of their own if they are to finish in the top-two, although they can at least start their international break off with victory at home.
Greece have managed just one win in their four away from home while Armenia have demonstrated that preference to play in front of their own supporters. That should result in more opportunities on goal for the home side and Tigran Barseghyan is a name to consider.
There is a best price of 4/1 out there on the winger to strike in this contest, 7/2 general, and that looks appealing value given his form this season.
The Kazakhstan season is different to most and Barseghyan has 18 goals in 41 domestic games across all competitions in 2019.
That form for club has transformed into his efforts with his country. In eight Euro 2020 qualifiers, the 26-year-old has three goals and three assists - one of those goals coming in last month's draw with Liechtenstein.
His threat is evident not only in the goals and assists but also in the statistics. His 23 total shots during European qualification for Armenia can only be bettered by nine players across all groups.
Armenia are the only one of the two sides to have something to play for in this contest, even if it is a slim chance of progression. Expect the hosts to try and be on the front foot throughout and have multiple opportunities to find the net.
Bosnia v Italy
If we're being honest, Friday's Euro 2020 qualifying action isn't the best but Bosnia's Group J clash with Italy sticks out as a contest with real potential for entertainment.
The visitors have already secured qualification as winners of this group. They boast a perfect record with eight wins from eight - scoring 25 goals along the way.
We already know that Italy will be in Group A for the finals despite the full draw taking place later on this month. That's due to the fact they are a host nation with eleven others across the continent.
Bosnia have a chance of reaching the finals, even though it looks like they won't finish in the top-two in this group. Their Nations League finish gives them a route through the play-offs.
Looking more short-term though and they will be aiming to build on their terrific home record which has seen ten points picked up from a possible 12. 13 of their 17 goals scored have come in front of their own supporters and they'll hold confidence they can add to that record here.
The game in Turin over the summer saw both teams scoring and the same should be expected in the reverse contest. Bosnia's showings at home also supports a belief that goals will come; both teams have scored in three of their four while Italy failed to keep clean sheets away to Finland and Armenia.
Goals is the avenue to explore here as there is too much uncertainty with the outright result. Italy's record may be outstanding but Bosnia have proven to be a completely different team at home than away.
Best bet: Over 3.5 goals at 23/10
Romania v Sweden
It is truly crunch time in Group F where Romania and Sweden are battling it out for the final remaining top-two spot.
Spain have already progressed after boasting an unbeaten record throughout and have a seemingly 99.9% chance of finishing top of the group - although a shock defeat to Malta would stop that.
For Sweden, victory here would be enough as they sit a point ahead of Romania. A home victory completely flips the situation and moves Romania into second, but a trip to Spain awaits on Monday.
Sweden's home clash with the Faroe Islands in their final contest means that they are firmly in the driving seat for a spot in the top-two, even with defeat here, but they have enough about them to secure their spot on Friday night.
Their away record has been very positive throughout with a defeat to Spain the only time they've failed to pick something up during their campaign on the road.
Sweden's last two away have ended in victory by 4-0 scorelines and they'll be full of confidence as they go to a Romania side who were held by Norway last time out and then narrowly got past Malta.
At 8/5, the price on an away win is one worth taking.
Best bet: Sweden to win at 8/5
EURO 2020 PRICE BOOST
Odds correct at 1300 GMT (14/11/19)