Liverpool v West Brom free betting tips: Super Sunday best bets and preview | Premier League

Football betting tips: Super Sunday

2.5pts Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals at 13/10

1pt Curtis Jones to have 1+ shot on target from outside the area at 11/4

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Liverpool v West Brom

• 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports
• Match Odds: Home 1/9 | Draw 9/1 | Away 28/1

In the aftermath of what can only be described as a freakish 7-2 beating at the hands of Aston Villa in October, the chances of Liverpool winning back-to-back league titles for the first time since 1984 looked slim. It was certainly some come down from a 2019-20 campaign during which the Reds was rarely challenged.

But since being humbled at Villa Park, Jurgen Klopp's side are unbeaten: six wins and four draws in 10 league games. It culminated in their own seven-goal romp at Crystal Palace last weekend, who simply had no answer as Liverpool ran riot after the break.

Perhaps most ominous for the Reds’ title rivals was that they did't even play particularly well, especially for the opening 45 minutes, but what they did display was a ruthless efficiency.

With Liverpool top at Christmas for a third season in succession, they won't need telling that 11 out of the past 15 sides leading the way on December 25 have gone on to win the title.

Despite losing both Joe Gomez and Virgil van Dijk to serious injuries, Liverpool are on course for 84 points and 97 league goals. That would represent the second most prolific top-flight season in their history, and most daunting for the sides around them is that the Reds have already played seven games against current top-half teams, winning five and drawing two.

So it’s no real surprise to see Klopp’s outfit chalked up at minuscule 1/9 quotes when entertaining beleaguered West Brom at Anfield on Sunday. However, I’m not anticipating the hosts handing out another seven-goal spanking and the smartest solution could be to support odds-against 13/10 (Betway) quotes on Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals.

Klopp has already displayed a penchant to rest and rotate as we approach the busy festive period and so it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see some of the Reds’ big-hitters on the bench here. And should Liverpool take a cushy lead early in the encounter, there’s the possibility the Merseysiders will look to kill the game and preserve energy.

West Brom were comfortably the league’s worst attacking outfit before Sam Allardyce's appointment, averaging only 0.69 Expected Goals (xG) per-game. The Baggies recorded just one long-range effort in their 3-0 reverse to Aston Villa, registering a measly 0.04 xG after being reduced to 10 men in a disappointing and deserved derby defeat.

The former England boss has shared his blueprint for Premier League survival previously; built on a strong foundation, Allardyce demands defensive solidity, looks to utilise set-pieces and pick up points wherever possible. Therefore, Albion are likely to set up in a similar system to the one that pinched a share of the spoils at Manchester City 10 days ago.

Whether West Brom can weather the inevitable storm remains to be seen but it would take a brave punter to presume the Baggies can thwart a Liverpool side that’s returned W42-D3-L0 here at Anfield in Premier League football since the beginning of 2018/19. Exactly half of those 42 triumphs arrived alongside under 3.5 goals with 20 seeing their visitors fire blanks.

Elsewhere, Curtis Jones could be brought back into the starting XI by Klopp. Arguably one of the best players on the pitch in Liverpool’s 2-1 win over title rivals Tottenham, the 19-year-old has played a prominent role in the Reds midfield this term. In 13 Premier League and Champions League starts, the talismanic youngster has fired in 15 shots at goal.

Six of those attempts have been from outside the penalty area – on average every 2.17 games - and against a low Baggies block, the opportunity to unleash a long-range strike at goal comes into play. We can back Jones at 11/4 (SkyBet) to land 1+ shot on target from outside the area, a selection that implies only a 27% chance of succeeding.

Score prediction: Liverpool 3-0 West Brom (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)

Liverpool v West Brom: Super Sunday best bets

Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals at 13/10

Curtis Jones to have 1+ shot on target from outside the area at 11/4

Odds correct at 23:00 GMT 23/12/20

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