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14:25 Newmarket

Sunday 5 May 2024

All13:5014:2515:0015:4016:1516:5017:25

William Hill Dahlia Stakes (Fillies' & Mares' Group 2)

Off time: 14:25 | Winning time: 1m 50.23s

1^st

(4)

Stay Alert

59-2

5/1

T: H MorrisonJ: David Egan

Raced towards far rail in 4th, closer in 3rd inside final 3f, ridden and went 2nd inside final 2f, closed to lead inside final furlong, soon clear, stayed on strongly op 11/2 tchd 9/2

2^nd

3 ½

(2)

Running Lion

49-2

6/4f

T: J & T GosdenJ: Oisin Murphy

Tracked leader towards far rail, led travelling well 4f out, hung persistently left from 2f out, soon ridden clear, greatly reduced lead and headed inside final furlong, weakened and no chance with winner op 15/8

3^rd

5 ½

(3)

Caernarfon

49-2

7/1

T: J ChannonJ: David Probert

Close 3rd towards far rail, went 2nd over 3f out, ridden and lost 2nd inside final 2f, weakened over 1f out op 5/1

4^th

(1)

Heartache Tonight

49-2

20/1

T: D MenuisierJ: J P Spencer

Went towards far rail and led, headed 4f out, lost 2nd over 3f out, weakened over 2f out op 18/1

5^th

(5)

Astral Beau

59-2

15/2

T: Mrs P SlyJ: S W Kelly

Led pair in centre, never quite on terms with leaders far side, pushed along and outpaced 3f out, soon weakened op 9/1

6^th

(6)

Silver Lady

49-5

16/5

T: C ApplebyJ: W Buick

Tracked leader in centre, never quite on terms with leaders towards far side, pushed along and beaten 3f out, tailed off and eased final 2f op 5/2

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Non-Runners

(7)

Novus¹

Weight: 9-2| Age: 4

T: G & J Moore J: T P Queally

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£6.00Pl:£2.70, £1.85EX:£15.00Trifecta:£57.70SF:£12.34Swingers:£2.70, £3.10, £2.30

Forecasts

Running Lion (6/4), Silver Lady (16/5), Stay Alert (5/1), Caernarfon (7/1), Astral Beau (15/2), Novus (8/1), Heartache Tonight (20/1)

RUNNING LION won at this meeting last year and while she lacks a prep run this time that's no concern given the yard she represents and this drop in trip may help her cause. She's just about the most persuasive option, though Stay Alert is a huge threat on her best form, while Silver Lady isn't yet exposed and is another danger, even with a penalty.