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17:15 Newcastle

Tuesday 10 March 2020

All16:4017:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:15

Ladbrokes Where The Nation Plays Fillies' Handicap

Off time: 17:16 | Winning time: 2m 50.27s

1^st

(6)

Merry Vale

49-5

2/1

T: J & T GosdenJ: R Havlin

Held up in touch, smooth headway over 2f out, led approaching final furlong, ran on well op 13/8

2^nd

2 ¾

(2)

Ravenscar

49-3

11/2

T: P A KirbyJ: B A Curtis

Tracked leader, led over 1f out, headed approaching final furlong, stayed on same pace tchd 6/1

3^rd

(1)

Greengage

59-4

5/4f

T: T DavidsonJ: Jason Hart

Held up, headway over 1f out, stayed on into 3rd entering final furlong, never able to challenge op 6/4

4^th

(5)

Baladio

49-7

8/1

T: J MackieJ: A Mullen

Keen in rear, headway over 1f out, kept on same pace op 11/1

5^th

2 ¼

(3)

Flood Defence

69-0

10/1

T: I JardineJ: Jamie Gormley

Pulled hard, tracked leader, led over 2f out, headed over 1f out, no extra closing stages op 14/1

6^th

(4)

Lady Camelot

59-7

25/1

T: P A KirbyJ: Nick Barratt-Atkin (7)

Led until over 2f out, lost place over 1f out op 33/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.30Pl:£1.80, £3.00EX:£11.30Trifecta:£36.60SF:£14.13Swingers:£2.50, £1.40, £5.30

Forecasts

Greengage (5/4), Merry Vale (2/1), Ravenscar (11/2), Baladio (8/1), Flood Defence (10/1), Lady Camelot (25/1)

Truthfully this won't take a great deal of winning. John Gosden's Merry Vale will undoubtedly figure prominently in the market on her handicap debut, and could well win doing handsprings against such opponents. However, she's clearly well down the pecking order in that particular yard and with some doubts about her stamina reserves is worth opposing at the projected cramped odds. In the context of this race, Flood Defence boasts some reasonable historic turf form (0-12 on the AW) but the safer option on Tapeta is probably the improving C&D winner GREENGAGE. Her form figures on the AW since October 2019 read 11216.