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15:00 Newbury

Saturday 8 February 2020

All13:1513:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:45

Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2)

Off time: 15:00 | Winning time: 5m 56.45s

1^st

Native River

1011-6

2/5f

T: C L TizzardJ: Jonjo O'Neill Jr.

Mostly jumped well, made all and clear most of way, hit 3rd and 14th, ridden before 2 out, stayed on strongly, unchallenged tchd 4/9

2^nd

2 ¾

Secret Investor

811-3

8/1

T: P F NichollsJ: H Cobden

Raced on inside, tracked leaders in 3rd, went 2nd 12th, hit 2 out, never able to challenge op 9/1

3^rd

7 ½

Might Bite

1111-0

7/2

T: N J HendersonJ: N de Boinville

Jumped left at times, raced wide and held up in 4th, closer in 3rd at 12th, well held when went left final 3, weakened run-in tchd 4/1

4^th

A Toi Phil

1011-0

40/1

T: G & J MooreJ: J E Moore

Held up and last, headway on outside 2 out, went 3rd last, kept on pressing for 3rd run-in, never able to challenge

5^th

Valdez

1311-0

50/1

T: A KingJ: Tom Cannon

Held up in 5th, bit closer in 4th 4 out, weakened last

6^th

1 ¼

Activial

1011-0

20/1

T: T R GeorgeJ: J J Burke

Chased winner who soon went clear, lost 2nd and dropped to 4th place 12th, weakened 4 out op 25/1

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Non-Runners

The Two Amigos⁴³

Weight: 11-0| Age: 8

T: Nicky Martin J: Matt Griffiths

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.30Pl:£1.10, £2.20EX:£4.00Trifecta:£11.30SF:£4.54Swingers:£1.90, £1.02, £2.40

Forecasts

Native River (2/5), Might Bite (7/2), Secret Investor (8/1), Activial (20/1), The Two Amigos (25/1), A Toi Phil (40/1), Valdez (50/1)

This is far from a strong renewal of this Grade 2 which acts as a Gold Cup trial although its hard to see many of this field making the gig. NATIVE RIVER successful in 2017 and 2018 in this when beating a couple of rivals each time faces a bigger field this time but in a way a lesser challenge and he should take this comfortably. Sifting through the field there don’t appear to be many dangers especially with likely second favourite and old adversary of the selection Might Bite a shadow of his former self. It may well be that Secret Investor is the main danger his previous form giving him a chance at this level. Of the others the progressive Two Amigos makes the most appeal.