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15:50 Market Rasen

Thursday 16 January 2020

All12:4013:1013:4014:1014:4515:2015:50

Thank You And Best Wishes Paul Ash Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:53 | Winning time: 6m 47.91s

1^st

Square Viviani

911-9

8/1

T: Micky HammondJ: Billy Garritty (5)

In rear, headway before 8th, in 3rd before 3 out, ridden before last, kept on to lead run-in op 10/1

2^nd

Cavalry Scout

710-7

11/4f

T: Laura MorganJ: Ross Chapman

Held up mid-division, headway to chase leaders 7th, every chance 2 out, kept on same pace from last op 7/2 tchd 4/1

3^rd

Midnight Mustang

1310-0

10/1

T: Andrew MartinJ: Shane Quinlan (5)

Led, pressed after 4 out, ridden after last, headed run-in, kept on tchd 9/1

4^th

3 ¾

Sidsteel

910-0

9/1

T: J GroucottJ: C J Todd (7)

Held up towards rear, good headway 7th, went 2nd 5 out, one pace before last op 7/1

5^th

Conas Taoi

1111-4

13/2

T: Christian WilliamsJ: Jack Tudor (7)

Chased leader, weakened from 9th op 9/2 tchd 4/1

Also Ran

Gold Patrol

1211-12

20/1

T: J CoulsonJ: Callum McKinnes (7)

Tracked leaders, lost place and reminders halfway, tailed off, pulled up op 33/1

Pakie's Dream

611-11

7/2

T: J CandlishJ: Sean Quinlan

Held up towards rear, pushed along and outpaced before 4 out, never dangerous, pulled up op 5/1

Madera Mist

611-6

13/2

T: Tim VaughanJ: Alan Johns

Prominent, lost place after 8th, soon struggling, tailed off, pulled up op 9/2 tchd 7/1

Petronella Manners

711-0

14/1

T: H D DalyJ: Hugh Nugent (5)

Towards rear, struggling from 7th, tailed off, pulled up tchd 12/1

L'Es Fremantle

910-1

50/1

T: M C ChapmanJ: Pte Alexandra Bell (7)

In touch, soon chased leaders, mistake and unseated rider 6th op 33/1 tchd 40/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£9.00Pl:£2.20, £1.50, £3.10EX:£38.60Trifecta:£315.60Tricast:£229.70SF:£32.19Swingers:£5.30, £18.50, £7.40

Forecasts

Cavalry Scout (11/4), Pakie's Dream (7/2), Conas Taoi (13/2), Madera Mist (13/2), Square Viviani (8/1), Sidsteel (9/1), Midnight Mustang (10/1), Petronella Manners (14/1), Gold Patrol (20/1), L'Es Fremantle (50/1)

Sidsteel (trip) and Square Viviani (temperament) come with risks attached but certainly wouldn't be completely surprising winners of a very modest Market Rasen finale. Furthermore, the consistent 11yo Conas Taoi is considered a realistic place contender. However the December C&D clash between Cavalry Scout and PAKIE'S DREAM provides the most relevant clues as to the potential outcome. With the fencing technique of Laura Morgan's charge still a work in progress, we'll chance that the latter-named Jennie Candlish representative can reverse those placings.