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15:45 Wincanton

Thursday 26 December 2019

All12:2012:5513:2514:0014:3515:1015:45

Jockey Club Catering Standard Open NH Flat Race

Off time: 15:47 | Winning time: 3m 51.0s

1^st

Supamouse

411-2

7/2

T: H MorrisonJ: T J O'Brien

Raced keenly, made most, shaken up over 2f out, soon clear, in no danger after, driven out, easily op 11/4

2^nd

Confirmation Bias

411-9

15/8f

T: P F NichollsJ: Bryan Carver (7)

Raced keenly, prominent, ridden to chase winner 3f out, kept on same pace, no chance final 2f op 11/4 tchd 3/1

3^rd

No Strangers Here

511-2

16/1

T: P Hobbs & J WhiteJ: M G Nolan

Tracked leaders, effort turning in, soon driven and one pace, went 3rd over 2f out, kept on, no chance with winner op 20/1

4^th

2 ¼

Boulting For Glory

411-2

5/1

T: N B KingJ: Bryony Frost

Held up behind, headway under pressure 4f out, kept on final 2f, never nearer op 8/1 tchd 9/2

5^th

Barbados Buck's

411-2

3/1

T: P F NichollsJ: Katie O'Farrell (5)

Chased leaders 3f out, mid-division, outpaced over 3f out, kept on final 2f, never threatened leaders op 7/2

6^th

White Walker

411-2

20/1

T: D SkeltonJ: Tristan Durrell (7)

Tracked leaders, ridden turning in, soon no impression, weakened over 1f out

7^th

Bellevarde Express

410-9

20/1

T: J ScottJ: Kieron Edgar

Behind until driven and stayed on past beaten rivals final 2f, never nearer op 14/1

8^th

3 ½

Alkademon

511-2

50/1

T: Miss L BlackfordJ: Thomas Bellamy

Never better than mid-division

9^th

Adams Star

411-2

28/1

T: David DennisJ: Stan Sheppard (3)

In touch on inside, driven over 4f out, never on terms, weakened over 2f out op 33/1 tchd 25/1

10^th

1 ¼

How's The Cricket

411-2

33/1

T: J FarrellyJ: R P McLernon

Held up, always behind

11^th

One Handsome Dude

411-2

20/1

T: A WestJ: Lee Edwards

Tracked leaders, outpaced over 3f out, soon ridden, weakened over 2f out op 16/1

12^th

Autumn Gold

610-9

50/1

T: J FarrellyJ: Ben Godfrey (7)

Always behind

13^th

Sakhee's Conquest

411-2

66/1

T: J W MullinsJ: Kevin Jones (3)

Led early, in touch, driven and lost place over 4f out, soon behind

14^th

Johnofgorcombe

511-2

100/1

T: J D FrostJ: James Best

Raced keenly, mid-division, reminders and lost place halfway, soon behind, continued tailed off

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Non-Runners

Hurricane Mitch

Weight: 11-2| Age: 4

T: H Fry J: S Bowen

Only Money²⁷²

Weight: 11-9| Age: 5

T: C Gordon J: Nick Scholfield

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£4.40Pl:£1.60, £1.10, £4.10EX:£15.50Trifecta:£162.20SF:£10.51Swingers:£2.60, £5.90, £6.60

Forecasts

Confirmation Bias (15/8), Barbados Buck's (3/1), Supamouse (7/2), Boulting For Glory (5/1), Only Money (7/1), Hurricane Mitch (8/1), No Strangers Here (16/1), White Walker (20/1), Bellevarde Express (20/1), One Handsome Dude (20/1), Adams Star (28/1), How's The Cricket (33/1), Alkademon (50/1), Autumn Gold (50/1), Sakhee's Conquest (66/1), Johnofgorcombe (100/1)

It's interesting that WHITE WALKER is asked to renew rivalry with Confirmation Bias who beat him over 12 lengths when the pair made their respective debuts here last month. On 7lb better terms the selection should get a lot closer. Confirmation Bias will not be easy to beat though having shown a fine attitude to get up in the last stride and should again run well despite his penalty. Bellevarde Express showed ability in a better race at Cheltenham on debut and is a danger, while Supamouse was only caught on the line when second at Southwell and has talent. Barbados Buck's, Boulting For Glory, and Hurricane Mitch are others to note too.