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14:10 Lingfield

Wednesday 11 December 2019

All12:1012:4013:1013:4014:1014:4015:10

Betway Novice Stakes

Off time: 14:14 | Winning time: 2m 5.12s

1^st

(3)

Dubious Affair

38-12

15/8

T: Sir Michael StouteJ: K Shoemark

Tracked leader, ridden over 1f out, driven to lead inside final furlong, asserted close home op 2/1 tchd 7/4 and tchd 9/4

2^nd

1 ½

(10)

Mercury Dime

38-12

16/1

T: E A L DunlopJ: David Probert

Close up, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on to go 2nd close home

3^rd

(7)

Merry Vale

38-12

7/4f

T: J & T GosdenJ: R Havlin

Soon led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra and lost 2nd close home op 6/4

4^th

2 ½

(9)

Lep

39-3

50/1

T: M J AttwaterJ: Paddy Bradley (3)

Held up in touch, headway 2f out, ridden and stayed on one pace final furlong

5^th

3 ½

(5)

Opportunist

39-3

5/2

T: M MeadeJ: B A Curtis

Slow into stride, towards rear, headway and in touch 6f out, pushed along and outpaced 3f out, kept on inside final furlong op 11/4

6^th

(6)

Just A Touch

38-12

66/1

T: Jane Chapple-HyamJ: Ray Dawson (5)

Close up, pushed along 4f out, weakened final furlong

7^th

(1)

Polar Cloud

39-3

20/1

T: H MainJ: L Morris

Slow into stride, towards rear, ridden 3f out, never a factor

8^th

1 ¼

(4)

Laurentia

38-12

25/1

T: D K IvoryJ: Sophie Ralston (5)

Keen led early, tracked leaders, pushed along 2f out, weakened final furlong op 66/1

9^th

(2)

Marmalade Day

38-12

66/1

T: G & J MooreJ: Louis Garoghan (7)

Towards rear, ridden 3f out, never on terms

10^th

4 ½

(8)

Byron Green

79-5

66/1

T: T GallagherJ: Darragh Keenan (3)

Slowly away, always in rear

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.40Pl:£1.20, £2.30, £1.10EX:£41.80Trifecta:£114.10SF:£28.71Swingers:£5.10, £1.10, £6.80

Forecasts

Merry Vale (7/4), Dubious Affair (15/8), Opportunist (5/2), Mercury Dime (16/1), Polar Cloud (20/1), Laurentia (25/1), Lep (50/1), Just A Touch (66/1), Marmalade Day (66/1), Byron Green (66/1)

Dubious Affair will have her supporters and her form entitles her to plenty of respect here, but preference is for the less exposed MERRY VALE. John Gosden's filly took a slight backward step on her second start, but she couldn't be in better hands and if she can get back to the level of her debut form, or better, she will be very tough to beat. The other runner of interest is newcomer Opportunist, who has an eyecatching pedigree and it would be no surprise to see him go well first time.