14:10 Lingfield

Wednesday 11 December 2019

All12:1012:4013:1013:4014:1014:4015:10

Betway Novice Stakes

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 5  |   1m 2f  |   Standard  |   10 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:14  |   Winning time: 2m 5.12s
1st
Horse silk
5
(3)
15/8
T: Sir Michael StouteJ: K Shoemark
Tracked leader, ridden over 1f out, driven to lead inside final furlong, asserted close home op 2/1 tchd 7/4 and tchd 9/4
2nd
Horse silk
1 ½
9
(10)
16/1
T: E A L DunlopJ: David Probert
Close up, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and headway over 1f out, stayed on to go 2nd close home
3rd
Horse silk
nk
10
(7)
7/4f
T: J & T GosdenJ: R Havlin
Soon led, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra and lost 2nd close home op 6/4
4th
Horse silk
2 ½
2
(9)
39-3
50/1
T: M J AttwaterJ: Paddy Bradley (3)
Held up in touch, headway 2f out, ridden and stayed on one pace final furlong
5th
Horse silk
3 ½
3
(5)
5/2
T: M MeadeJ: B A Curtis
Slow into stride, towards rear, headway and in touch 6f out, pushed along and outpaced 3f out, kept on inside final furlong op 11/4
6th
Horse silk
1
6
(6)
66/1
T: Jane Chapple-HyamJ: Ray Dawson (5)
Close up, pushed along 4f out, weakened final furlong
7th
Horse silk
sh
4
(1)
20/1
T: H MainJ: L Morris
Slow into stride, towards rear, ridden 3f out, never a factor
8th
Horse silk
1 ¼
7
(4)
25/1
T: D K IvoryJ: Sophie Ralston (5)
Keen led early, tracked leaders, pushed along 2f out, weakened final furlong op 66/1
9th
Horse silk
nk
8
(2)
66/1
T: G & J MooreJ: Louis Garoghan (7)
Towards rear, ridden 3f out, never on terms
10th
Horse silk
4 ½
1
(8)
66/1
T: T GallagherJ: Darragh Keenan (3)
Slowly away, always in rear

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.40Pl:£1.20, £2.30, £1.10EX:£41.80Trifecta:£114.10SF:£28.71Swingers:£5.10, £1.10, £6.80

Forecasts

Merry Vale (7/4), Dubious Affair (15/8), Opportunist (5/2), Mercury Dime (16/1), Polar Cloud (20/1), Laurentia (25/1), Lep (50/1), Just A Touch (66/1), Marmalade Day (66/1), Byron Green (66/1)

Verdict

Dubious Affair will have her supporters and her form entitles her to plenty of respect here, but preference is for the less exposed MERRY VALE. John Gosden's filly took a slight backward step on her second start, but she couldn't be in better hands and if she can get back to the level of her debut form, or better, she will be very tough to beat. The other runner of interest is newcomer Opportunist, who has an eyecatching pedigree and it would be no surprise to see him go well first time.
  1. Merry Vale
  2. Opportunist
  3. Dubious Affair

Previous Winners

2018
Mainsail Atlantic
Weight: 9-2  |Age: 3
J: A Kirby  |  T: J R Fanshawe
8/11

Prize Money

1st: £3,429.002nd: £1,020.003rd: £510.004th: £255.00

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