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17:05 Chepstow

Saturday 12 October 2019

All14:1014:4515:2015:5516:3017:0517:40

John Ayres Memorial Handicap Chase

Off time: 17:06 | Winning time: 4m 58.8s

1^st

The Bay Birch

810-13

20/1

T: M SheppardJ: S Bowen

Chased leader until after 5th, 2nd again next, led going well 4 out, clear next, stayed on strongly op 14/1

2^nd

2 ¾

Caid Du Lin

710-13

14/1

T: Dr R D P NewlandJ: Charlie Hammond (3)

Mid-division, steady headway approaching 3 out, 2nd next, kept on same pace run-in, no chance with winner tchd 16/1

3^rd

Activial

911-3

8/1

T: T R GeorgeJ: J J Burke

Led until before 6th where dropped to 3rd, pushed along and went 2nd before 2 out until 2 out, kept on same pace in 3rd

4^th

4 ½

Theo

910-9

9/2

T: Dr R D P NewlandJ: Sam Twiston-Davies

Mid-division, headway tracking leaders travelling well before 5 out, mistake and rider lost iron briefly next, weakened 2 out op 4/1

5^th

Aintree My Dream

910-1

25/1

T: M F HarrisJ: James Best

Chased leaders, 2nd after 5th, led before 6th, pecked 5 out, headed next, chased winner until weakened before 2 out

6^th

1 ¼

Templehills

810-3

15/2

T: J & A O'NeillJ: Edward Austin (7)

Chased leaders on inside, pecked 2nd, jumped slowly next, mistake and lost place 9th, outpaced 5 out op 11/1 tchd 7/1

7^th

Charbel

811-11

5/2f

T: K C BaileyJ: David Bass

Chased leaders, pushed along before 5 out, weakened 3 out op 3/1

8^th

Marracudja

810-6

13/2

T: D SkeltonJ: Harry Skelton

Held up in rear, mistake 11th, tailed off op 6/1 tchd 11/2

9^th

1 ¼

Doitforthevillage

1010-8

11/2

T: P HendersonJ: P J Brennan

Mistake 7th, always towards rear op 5/1

10^th

2 ¼

Whisper

1111-12

20/1

T: S ThomasJ: James Bowen

In touch, weakening when mistake 11th op 16/1

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Non-Runners

Valdez²⁰³

Weight: 10-12| Age: 12

T: A King J: Wayne Hutchinson

Capeland¹⁹⁵

Weight: 10-11| Age: 7

T: P F Nicholls J: Non Runner

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£15.90Pl:£3.70, £4.10, £3.20EX:£214.00Trifecta:£0.00Tricast:£2,429.66SF:£254.36Swingers:£32.10, £32.10, £17.10

Forecasts

Charbel (5/2), Theo (9/2), Doitforthevillage (11/2), Capeland (6/1), Marracudja (13/2), Valdez (7/1), Templehills (15/2), Activial (8/1), Caid Du Lin (14/1), The Bay Birch (20/1), Whisper (20/1), Aintree My Dream (25/1)

Last year's winner Charbel is considered by he did have the benefit of a run when landing this from a 3lb lower mark 12 months ago. Fitness could be key and, on that basis, THEO is fancied to run a big race after runner-up finishes at Worcester and Kelso last month, with this extra yardage within his compass. Paul Nicholls has a fine record in this contest, ensuring Capeland is worth a look while clearly Whisper would go close if able to re-find his form having left Seven Barrows to join the Sam Thomas team.