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16:35 Tipperary

Sunday 6 October 2019

All13:3014:0014:3014:4015:0015:3016:0016:3517:10

Like A Butterfly Novice Chase (Grade 3)

Off time: 16:37 | Winning time: 5m 3.7s

1^st

Robin De Carlow

610-12

5/1

T: W P MullinsJ: D E Mullins

Towards rear, mistake 3rd, 5th halfway and slight mistake 8th, went 3rd before 4 out, progress after 2 out to lead last, joined again run-in, under pressure and kept on well closing stages op 9/2 tchd 11/2

2^nd

Put The Kettle On

511-1

6/1

T: H De BromheadJ: R M Power

Tracked leader, jumped well, led after 7th, strongly pressed 2 out and headed last, disputed again briefly run-in and kept on, no impression on winner close home

3^rd

4 ¾

Moon Over Germany

811-2

9/4

T: H De BromheadJ: Rachael Blackmore

Tracked leaders, 3rd halfway, 2nd after 10th and closer 3 out, challenged next, soon pushed along and 3rd when slightly short of room at last, no impression run-in op 7/4 tchd 13/8 and 5/2

4^th

Grey Waters

510-9

33/1

T: J P O'BrienJ: J J Slevin

Tracked leaders, 4th halfway, pushed along and no impression in 5th after 3 out, slightly hampered next, no extra, kept on one pace

5^th

7 ½

Dandy Mag

611-2

13/2

T: W P MullinsJ: D J Mullins

Held up towards rear, slight mistakes 1st and 4th, pecked 7th, 4th and pushed along after 3 out, no impression when jumped left next, no extra op 9/1 tchd 6/1

6^th

Brahma Bull

811-5

15/8f

T: W P MullinsJ: P Townend

Led, jumped right, headed after 7th, mistake 9th, mistake and almost unseated rider next, mistake 4 out and dropped to rear, no extra and eased, tailed off op 5/2

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Non-Runners

Champagne Classic²³¹

Weight: 11-2| Age: 8

T: G Elliott J: J W Kennedy

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:€6.50Pl:€2.90, €1.80EX:€37.50Trifecta:€111.10SF:€33.03

Forecasts

Brahma Bull (15/8), Moon Over Germany (9/4), Champagne Classic (5/2), Robin De Carlow (5/1), Put The Kettle On (6/1), Dandy Mag (13/2), Grey Waters (33/1)

A fascinating renewal of a contest which has been won by some smart sorts down the years including Le Richebourg (2018), Rathvinden (2017) and Limestone Lad (2000). The unknown quantity in this field is without doubt Dandy Mag who defied a monster absence to win on his chase debut in August. He is unlikely to be affected by the bounce factor given he has had 66 days to recover. For win purposes, it is hard to split Champagne Classic and MOON OVER GERMANY. The former brings graded novice chase form to the table and is likely to be the better horse in the future. However, the latter is narrowly preferred given he is the more proven sort over fences and has race fitness on his side.