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15:40 Ascot

Saturday 5 October 2019

All14:0014:3515:1015:4016:1516:50

John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3)

Off time: 15:44 | Winning time: 1m 15.63s

1^st

(6)

Cape Byron

59-2

13/8f

T: R VarianJ: Andrea Atzeni

Tracked leaders and always going well, 2nd on bit over 2f out, led over 1f out, quickened clear, easily op 2/1

2^nd

(7)

Donjuan Triumphant

69-2

9/2

T: A M BaldingJ: S De Sousa

Tried to anticipate start hit gate and started slowly, behind, headway 2f out, chased leaders and flashed tail under pressure over 1f out ran on inside final furlong, went 2nd final strides, no chance with winner op 11/2 tchd 6/1

3^rd

(10)

Keystroke

79-5

12/1

T: S C WilliamsJ: A Kirby

Held up and behind, headway when not clear run and switched right over 1f out, ran on inside final furlong no chance with winner, lost 2nd final strides tchd 14/1

4^th

1 ¼

(5)

Raucous

69-2

16/1

T: R M H CowellJ: Alistair Rawlinson

Held up in mid-division headway over 1f out, kept on same pace in 4th inside final furlong op 14/1 tchd 12/1

5^th

2 ½

(2)

Good Effort

49-2

25/1

T: I MohammedJ: B A Curtis

Raced keenly, led, ridden and headed over 1f out, lost 2nd and weakened inside final furlong tchd 16/1

6^th

(9)

Tabdeed

49-2

2/1

T: Owen BurrowsJ: Dane O'Neill

Slowly into stride, held up towards rear, headway chasing leaders 2f out, hung right and outpaced over 1f out, no threat after op 7/4

7^th

(8)

Richenza

48-13

40/1

T: R M BeckettJ: Rob Hornby

Chased leaders near side of group, pushed along halfway, wakened over 1f out op 33/1

8^th

1 ½

(3)

Rock On Baileys

48-13

66/1

T: Miss A MurphyJ: Nicola Currie

Towards rear far side of group, never on terms tchd 50/1

9^th

(4)

Green Power

49-2

33/1

T: J GallagherJ: Hector Crouch

Chased leader until over 2f out, soon weakened tchd 25/1

10^th

(1)

Thrilla In Manila

39-1

33/1

T: R SpencerJ: L Morris

Chased leaders over 3f, soon behind

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.20Pl:£1.10, £1.40, £3.10EX:£9.30Trifecta:£63.60SF:£8.99Swingers:£1.80, £5.10, £7.40

Forecasts

Cape Byron (13/8), Tabdeed (2/1), Donjuan Triumphant (9/2), Keystroke (12/1), Raucous (16/1), Good Effort (25/1), Green Power (33/1), Thrilla In Manila (33/1), Richenza (40/1), Rock On Baileys (66/1)

A few of these are tilting at windmills and given the prevailing conditions a shock can’t be ruled out especially at the end of a long season. Overall the race does lack depth and with CAPE BYRON having proved himself a more than capable operator at this venue a fourth course victory and a third this year might not be far away; conditions should prove no problem. Tabdeed remains open to further improvement but this does require more and he has to prove himself on ground this testing. Raucous and Rock On Baileys are sound enough performers but if there were to be a shock then Keystroke can’t be ruled out back over 6f.