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14:00 Ascot

Friday 4 October 2019

All14:0014:3515:1015:4516:2016:55

Mar-Key Group Classified Stakes (Str)

Off time: 14:03 | Winning time: 1m 47.52s

1^st

(9)

Sawwaah

49-3

9/1

T: Owen BurrowsJ: Jim Crowley

Overall leader towards stand side and raced alone until 5f out, ridden and pressed from over 1f out, stayed on gamely op 10/1 tchd 17/2

2^nd

(7)

Tulfarris

39-0

4/1

T: C FellowesJ: S Donohoe

Switched left to track winner 5f out, ridden to challenge from over 1f out, every chance until unable to quicken close home

3^rd

(5)

Model Guest

39-0

50/1

T: G G MargarsonJ: T P Queally

Close up centre, ridden to chase leading pair over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong

4^th

(1)

Trolius

39-0

10/1

T: S & E CrisfordJ: James Doyle

Close up centre, ridden and headway over 2f out, kept on one pace final furlong op 7/1

5^th

(6)

Mr Top Hat

49-3

12/1

T: P D EvansJ: Ray Dawson (5)

Keen tracked centre leader, ridden over 2f out, faded inside final furlong op 16/1

6^th

(8)

Target Zone

39-0

10/1

T: D R C ElsworthJ: G Mosse

Steadied start, switched to race towards stand side 5f out, close up, pushed along over 3f out, ridden and kept on same pace from over 1f out tchd 11/1

7^th

(2)

Mostawaa

39-0

25/1

T: H MainJ: David Egan

Raced centre, tracked leader until led this group over 3f out and soon merged with stand side group, ridden 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

8^th

(3)

Herculean

49-3

15/8f

T: H & R CharltonJ: Jason Watson

Led centre group until over 3f out, weakened over 1f out op 5/2 tchd 7/4

9^th

(10)

Lush Life

49-3

8/1

T: J A OsborneJ: J P Spencer

Steadied start, in touch in rear centre, pushed along over 2f out, never a factor tchd 15/2

10^th

(4)

Fox Leicester

39-0

14/1

T: A M BaldingJ: S De Sousa

Towards rear in centre, ridden and weakened over 1f out op 11/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£8.40Pl:£2.90, £1.50, £9.90EX:£55.80Trifecta:£1,130.20SF:£43.99Swingers:£9.10, £81.70, £24.30

Forecasts

Herculean (15/8), Tulfarris (4/1), Lush Life (8/1), Sawwaah (9/1), Trolius (10/1), Target Zone (10/1), Mr Top Hat (12/1), Fox Leicester (14/1), Mostawaa (25/1), Model Guest (50/1)

A tricky opener with just 6lb separating the entire field on BHA handicap ratings (six of the ten are rated 90). Dave Evans utilises the 5lb claim of Ray Dawson aboard Mr Top Hat and that provides an interesting angle with the eased-in-grade four-year-old gelding perfectly adept under today's conditions. However, the attention is also drawn to TULFARRIS and Trolius who finished second and third respectively in a similar C&D contest last month. The Simon Crisford-trained runner could feasibly strip fitter for that appearance (his first since February), but the selection is more familiar with soft to heavy ground conditions and that tips the scales in his favour.