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16:10 Southwell

Wednesday 4 September 2019

All13:4014:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:40

Watch Sky Sports Racing On Virgin 435 Mares' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 16:10 | Winning time: 5m 14.8s

1^st

Princess Nearco

510-12

16/1

T: L BaileyJ: Billy Garritty (5)

Always close up, not fluent 7th, pushed along and went 2nd after 3 out, ridden to lead before last, not fluent, ran on well op 20/1 tchd 25/1

2^nd

2 ¼

Smart Getaway

711-5

1/1j

T: O MurphyJ: Lewis Stones (7)

Chased leader, led after 3 out, ridden and headed before last, one pace tchd 11/10

3^rd

Simply Loveleh

611-12

1/1j

T: D SkeltonJ: Harry Skelton

Held up in touch, every chance 3 out, ridden and weakened approaching 2 out tchd 5/6 and tchd 11/10

4^th

Ballinamona Flyer

610-12

50/1

T: A PhillipsJ: C J Todd (7)

Led until after 3 out, ridden and weakened approaching 2 out

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£14.90EX:£22.40Trifecta:£26.90SF:£33.42

Forecasts

Smart Getaway (1/1), Simply Loveleh (1/1), Princess Nearco (16/1), Ballinamona Flyer (50/1)

Half of the quartet that make up the field would have to show improvement to get involved especially as Princess Nearco is making her hurdling debut and Ballinamona Flyer would be required to make a huge improvement on her hurdling debut. Therefore this boils down to a match between two mares who have winning form but both disappointed last time to a certain extent. Smart Getaway would have found the 2m too sharp last time but the stable are winless since her C&D win over obstacles. That just tips the scales in the direction of SIMPLY LOVELEH despite her stable hardly being in stunning form either despite giving weight away current handicap ratings suggest she should just be able to do so.