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14:15 Carlisle

Friday 31 May 2019

All13:1013:4014:1514:5015:2516:0016:4517:20

Longtown Handicap

Off time: 14:19 | Winning time: 1m 16.46s

1^st

(2)

Timetodock

39-3

7/2f

T: T D EasterbyJ: D Allan

Overall leader far side, ridden out op 4/1 tchd 9/2

2^nd

(5)

Sarasota Bay

39-7

8/1

T: J & S QuinnJ: Jason Hart

Raced far side tracked winner, ridden over 1f out, hung left final furlong, stayed on op 6/1

3^rd

(4)

Vigorito

39-2

20/1

T: T D BarronJ: R P Downey

Close up far side, hampered over 1f out, rallied inside final furlong to press for 2nd op 16/1

4^th

(13)

Dancing Rave

39-7

9/2

T: D O'MearaJ: D Nolan

Raced stand side in rear, headway 2f out, led this group over 1f out, kept on, no chance with far side op 5/1 tchd 4/1

5^th

(3)

Here's Rocco

39-5

40/1

T: J & S QuinnJ: Barry McHugh

In rear far side, ridden 2f out, not trouble leaders op 33/1

6^th

1 ¼

(1)

Allsfineandandy

38-7

12/1

T: Miss L C SiddallJ: S P Davis (5)

Close up far side, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out op 25/1

7^th

3 ½

(15)

Highjacked

38-6

5/1

T: J J DaviesJ: Phil Dennis

Prominent stand side, led this group halfway, ridden and headed over 1f out, soon weakened op 6/1 tchd 9/2

8^th

1 ¼

(14)

Pinarella

39-3

6/1

T: B HaslamJ: A Mullen

Tracked leaders stand side, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out op 7/1

9^th

3 ¼

(10)

The Thorny Rose

39-1

25/1

T: M DodsJ: Paula Muir (5)

Dwelt close up stand side,pushed along and hung right over 2f out, weakened over 1f out op 28/1

10^th

(12)

Lexikon

38-10

5/1

T: Ollie PearsJ: Jamie Gormley (3)

Led stand side group until halfway, weakened 2f out, tailed off op 9/2 tchd 11/2

Also Ran

(7)

Popping Corks

38-10

20/1

T: Miss L A PerrattJ: Ben Robinson (3)

Tracked leaders far side, reminders bucked and unseated rider over 1f out op 16/1

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Non-Runners

(6)

Darwina¹⁶³

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: A C Whillans J: J Garritty

(11)

Shesadabber²⁸

Weight: 8-2| Age: 3

T: B P J Baugh J: D Fentiman

(8)

Joey Boy⁹

Weight: 8-13| Age: 3

T: K A Ryan J: T Eaves

(16)

Zalmi Angel¹²

Weight: 8-8| Age: 3

T: Adrian Nicholls J: J Fanning

(9)

Just A Rumour¹²

Weight: 8-3| Age: 3

T: N Wilson J: Non Runner

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£3.70Pl:£2.20, £2.20, £4.10EX:£28.70Trifecta:£326.30Tricast:£506.02SF:£32.02Swingers:£7.40, £8.80, £22.60

Forecasts

Timetodock (7/2), Dancing Rave (9/2), Highjacked (5/1), Lexikon (5/1), Pinarella (6/1), Joey Boy (6/1), Sarasota Bay (8/1), Allsfineandandy (12/1), Shesadabber (12/1), Zalmi Angel (14/1), Vigorito (20/1), Darwina (20/1), Popping Corks (20/1), The Thorny Rose (25/1), Just A Rumour (25/1), Here's Rocco (40/1)

Soft ground and a big field of essentially moderate horses, some of whom will no doubt be late developers makes this a potentially very difficult puzzle to solve. However, we'll focus upon those drawn high with the likes of the feasibly handicapped Dancing Rave (13) and Highjacked (15) both figuring on the radar as possible winners, whilst Timetodock (who has solid form) is taken on from stall 2. Perhaps the most logical approach is to keep things simple and rely on the Ollie Pears-trained LEXIKON (12) who has been displaying plenty of early speed over 1m, and could realistically make every single yard of the running now dropped back in trip to 6f.