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20:00 Southwell

Wednesday 17 April 2019

All18:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30

Betway Heed Your Hunch Novice Stakes

Off time: 20:01 | Winning time: 1m 15.84s

1^st

(1)

Inspired Thought

38-12

13/8f

T: A WatsonJ: D Tudhope

Led early, tracked leaders, pushed along to lead over 1f out, ridden entering final furlong, asserted close home op 6/4 tchd 11/8

2^nd

(7)

Astro Jakk

39-5

7/2

T: K R BurkeJ: P J McDonald

Raced wide tracked leaders, ridden to press winner over 1f out, every chance until no extra close home op 4/1 tchd 5/1

3^rd

(5)

Sapphire Jubilee

38-7

125/1

T: Ollie PearsJ: Jamie Gormley (3)

Soon disputed lead, led over 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, kept on same pace op 150/1 tchd 100/1

4^th

3 ¾

(3)

Sense of Belonging

38-12

9/4

T: K A RyanJ: K Stott

Soon led, ridden and headed over 2f out, kept on same pace op 11/4

5^th

(2)

Parion

38-7

9/2

T: R A FaheyJ: S P Davis (5)

In touch, ridden halfway, never on terms tchd 4/1

6^th

(6)

Luna Princess

38-7

66/1

T: M ApplebyJ: Jane Elliott (3)

In rear, pushed along over 4f out, never on terms tchd 50/1 and tchd 80/1

7^th

(4)

Tommycole

49-9

33/1

T: Olly WilliamsJ: Theodore Ladd (5)

In touch, outpaced over 3f out op 50/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.90Pl:£2.40, £1.10EX:£8.40Trifecta:£140.90SF:£7.81Swingers:£1.80, £4.80, £11.20

Forecasts

Inspired Thought (13/8), Sense of Belonging (9/4), Astro Jakk (7/2), Parion (9/2), Tommycole (33/1), Luna Princess (66/1), Sapphire Jubilee (125/1)

Take out the three outsiders and you have an interesting four-way battle which may not be as clear cut as the betting suggests for the likely market leader C&D winner Inspired Thought. There’s more to come from her but it may prove worth looking elsewhere with Mayson filly PARION catching the eye on her one run last year and by a sire whose progeny go very well on Fibresand. Astro Jakk can’t be left out of calculations having won over C&D although his penalty makes life tougher with Sense Of Belonging not out of this although he does have to prove himself on the surface.