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13:50 Kempton

Saturday 23 February 2019

All13:1513:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:45

888Sport Pendil Novices' Chase (Grade 2)

Off time: 13:50 | Winning time: 5m 2.6s

1^st

Bags Groove

811-5

7/4

T: H FryJ: N D Fehily

Raced on inside throughout, tracked leader, led narrowly 2 out, ridden and stayed on well run-in op 15/8

2^nd

1 ½

Castafiore

610-12

10/1

T: C E LongsdonJ: Paul O'Brien

Jumped boldly, led, hit 3 out, narrowly headed 2 out, chased winner, ridden between last 2, kept on towards finish, always held

3^rd

3 ¾

Good Man Pat

611-0

5/1

T: A KingJ: Wayne Hutchinson

Tracked leading pair on inside until 3rd, hit 5th blundered next, 3rd again 12th until next, regained 3rd before 2 out, one pace and no chance with 1st 2 op 4/1 tchd 11/2

4^th

1 ¾

Secret Investor

711-0

11/10f

T: P F NichollsJ: H Cobden

Raced wide, held up in 4th place, tracked leading pair 3rd, not fluent 8th, lost 3rd 12th, 3rd again next, shaken up before 3 out, found nil and weakened before next op 11/8 tchd and tchd 6/4

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.20EX:£14.60Trifecta:£27.60SF:£13.91

Forecasts

Secret Investor (11/10), Bags Groove (7/4), Good Man Pat (5/1), Castafiore (10/1)

There are few races in the NH calendar where a trainer is as dominant as Paul Nicholls is in this race. He has won 10 of the last 13 renewals including last year with Cyrname who is now the highest rated horse in training and opposing his SECRET INVESTOR therefore makes little sense. He has 9L to make up with Bags Groove but is 5lb better off this time and that rival had an experience edge last time they clashed. Harry Fry's novice flopped in the Kauto Star but that was the best novice chase run this season so he is expected to prove a different proposition entirely here. Castafiore's Haydock win can't be underestimated despite her big odds that day.