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18:15 Kempton

Saturday 5 January 2019

All16:1516:4517:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:45

32Red Handicap

Off time: 18:17 | Winning time: 3m 25.47s

1^st

(2)

Amade

59-0

2/1f

T: A G BottiJ: R Havlin

Slowly into stride, held up towards rear, headway on outside 6f out, soon steadied, closed over 4f out, led over 2f out, soon quickened clear, in no danger after op 3/1

2^nd

2 ¼

(3)

Castlelyons

78-12

10/1

T: R StephensJ: Callum Shepherd

Held up towards rear, headway over 2f out, chased winner over 1f out, no impression, stayed on op 12/1

3^rd

1 ¼

(7)

Zubayr

78-8

14/1

T: Ian WilliamsJ: K T O'Neill

Held up in rear, headway on outside over 1f out, stayed on, went 3rd post op 10/1 tchd 16/1

4^th

(11)

Eddystone Rock

78-11

33/1

T: J R BestJ: Kieren Fox

Held up in rear, headway on outside 3f out, kept on final furlong, lost 3rd post op 40/1 tchd 50/1

5^th

(1)

Count Calabash

59-5

9/2

T: Eve Johnson HoughtonJ: Charles Bishop

Led, headed over 2f out, weakened final 100 yards op 5/1 tchd 11/2

6^th

1 ¼

(8)

Cayirli

78-12

9/1

T: S DurackJ: M Harley

Held up, headway on outside over 5f out, went 2nd over 4f out until over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong op 8/1 tchd 10/1

7^th

4 ½

(10)

Cosmelli

69-8

40/1

T: Miss Gay KellewayJ: L Morris

Chased leaders, lost place over 4f out, well beaten final 2f

8^th

2 ¼

(9)

Addicted To You

59-3

18/1

T: C & M JohnstonJ: Jason Hart

Held up towards rear, headway on outside over 12f out, went 2nd over 8f out until over 4f out, lost place 3f out op 16/1 tchd 14/1 and tchd 20/1

9^th

(6)

Envoy

58-11

7/1

T: J M P EustaceJ: Ryan Tate

Mid-division, effort when not much room over 2f out, weakened from over 1f out op 15/2 tchd 6/1

10^th

(5)

Lord George

69-12

7/1

T: J R FanshaweJ: A Kirby

Tracked leader until 8f out, lost place over 4f out, well beaten final 2f op 6/1

11^th

(4)

Winterlude

98-13

20/1

T: J CandlishJ: J Fanning

Tracked leaders, not much room and lost place over 2f out, eased, tailed off op 14/1 tchd 12/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.50Pl:£1.30, £2.90, £5.60EX:£25.20Trifecta:£206.60Tricast:£226.71SF:£22.88Swingers:£5.10, £6.50, £24.70

Forecasts

Amade (2/1), Count Calabash (9/2), Envoy (7/1), Lord George (7/1), Cayirli (9/1), Castlelyons (10/1), Zubayr (14/1), Addicted To You (18/1), Winterlude (20/1), Eddystone Rock (33/1), Cosmelli (40/1)

AMADE has an excellent strike-rate and put up a career best when winning on an artificial surface at Deauville last time, and he is weighted to win on a line through third-placed Cayirli. A bigger threat could be Lord George now back at a staying trip, although Castlelyons isn't dismissed having faced a stiff task last time.