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14:35 Warwick

Monday 31 December 2018

All12:2512:5513:3014:0014:3515:0515:35

LPS Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 14:35 | Winning time: 6m 34.8s

1^st

His Dream

510-7

8/1

T: J & A O'NeillJ: Jonjo O'Neill Jr. (3)

Mid-division on outside, headway 7th, went 2nd 3 out, led before next, soon ridden, stayed on when pressed flat, going away towards finish

2^nd

4 ½

Captain Cargo

611-9

7/1

T: Mrs Caroline BaileyJ: R Patrick

Mid-division on inside, lost place and behind 8th, headway under pressure after 3 out, ridden into 2nd after next, every chance flat, no extra towards finiish

3^rd

Quick Pick

711-9

11/2j

T: J CandlishJ: Rex Dingle (3)

In touch, driven after 3 out, ridden after next, went 3rd and kept on under pressure from last, no impression

4^th

2 ¼

Perfect Pirate

611-10

10/1

T: B PaulingJ: C Brace (5)

Led, clear to 4th, headed briefly 7th, driven after 4 out, headed when edged right before 2 out, no extra before last

5^th

Gamain

911-2

20/1

T: Mrs J WilliamsJ: Chester Williams (3)

Mid-division, close up 6th, driven and outpaced by front pair after 3 out, soon lost place, no impression from next

6^th

Sackett

711-7

8/1

T: N B KingJ: Bryony Frost

Chased leaders, outpaced before 3 out, weakened next

7^th

1 ¾

Mighty Vic

1010-10

50/1

T: Miss S SmithJ: Ben Godfrey (7)

Held up in last pair, ridden after 4 out, stayed on past beaten rivals after 2 out, never nearer

8^th

Sunnytahliateigan

611-5

11/2j

T: Ian WilliamsJ: Edward Austin (8)

Mid-division, outpaced 3 out, never threatened leaders

9^th

Oxford Blu

411-12

14/1

T: O MurphyJ: Callum McKinnes (10)

Mid-division, ridden after 8th, never near leaders, weakened after 3 out

10^th

1 ½

Falcons Fall

711-0

16/1

T: T SymondsJ: Lorcan Williams

Held up in last pair, some headway 3 out, hit next, never threatened leaders, blundered last, soon weakened

11^th

Marley Firth

611-6

8/1

T: D SkeltonJ: William Marshall (10)

In touch, ridden before 3 out, never on terms, weakened before next

12^th

3 ½

Optimistic Bias

912-0

16/1

T: H J EvansJ: Alexander Thorne (3)

Tracked leader, close up 4th, led briefly 7th, with leader, lost place before 3 out, soon weakened

13^th

3 ½

After Aspen

811-8

25/1

T: O MurphyJ: Lewis Stones (8)

Towards rear, headway after 7th, never reached leaders, weakened 3 out

14^th

4 ½

Savanna Roar

511-3

25/1

T: B PaulingJ: Hugh Nugent (3)

In touch, lost place after 7th, behind from 4 out, tailed off

Also Ran

Mogestic

910-13

10/1

T: J W MullinsJ: Daniel Sansom (3)

In touch, reminders and lost place after 7th, behind from next, tailed off 4 out, pulled up next

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£9.80Pl:£2.90, £2.20, £2.20EX:£94.80Trifecta:£561.80Tricast:£347.68SF:£64.47Swingers:£22.50, £14.10, £7.80

Forecasts

Quick Pick (11/2), Sunnytahliateigan (11/2), Captain Cargo (7/1), His Dream (8/1), Sackett (8/1), Marley Firth (8/1), Perfect Pirate (10/1), Mogestic (10/1), Oxford Blu (14/1), Falcons Fall (16/1), Optimistic Bias (16/1), Gamain (20/1), After Aspen (25/1), Savanna Roar (25/1), Mighty Vic (50/1)

The majority of this rather sizeable field are much of a muchness with consistency not figuring overly high in their respective list of attributes. The likes of After Aspen, Sackett and Marley Firth could prove suited by the switch back from fences. Sunnytahliateigan is worth a try over this longer trip (has stamina on his dam side), whilst His Dream is surely better than he has demonstrated lately. Therefore, the sole real progressive individual in the line-up shines like the proverbial beacon. CAPTAIN CARGO should be an immensely difficult opponent for the others if able to reproduce his recent C&D second (novices') to De Name Evades Me.