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15:20 Navan

Saturday 8 December 2018

All12:0012:3013:0513:3514:1014:4515:20

Hotel Park In St Johann Tirol Austria Flat Race

Off time: 15:20 | Winning time: 4m 21.4s

1^st

The Very Man

411-11

1/1f

T: G ElliottJ: Ms L O'Neill

Tracked leaders, improved to dispute lead travelling well 3f out, led 2f out, soon pushed along and went clear, ridden inside final furlong, stayed on well, comfortably op 11/10 tchd 10/11

2^nd

3 ¾

Neptune

411-11

7/1

T: D K WeldJ: Mr F Maguire (3)

Held up behind leaders, 6th halfway, progress entering straight, soon ridden, 3rd 2f out, no impression on winner in 3rd 1f out, kept on to go 2nd close home, not trouble winner op 9/1 tchd 10/1

3^rd

Bigbadandbeautiful

411-4

12/1

T: G ElliottJ: Mr J J Codd

Led at slow early pace, headed after 3f, dropped to rear halfway, ridden 3f out, went 5th 2f out, headway into 2nd 1f out, not trouble winner inside final furlong, dropped to 3rd close home op 10/1

4^th

6 ½

Dionysis

512-0

7/2

T: W P MullinsJ: Mr P W Mullins

Tracked leaders, improved to dispute lead 6f out, ridden and led entering straight, joined 3f out, rider dropped whip, headed 2f out, soon no impression in moderate 4th op 4/1

5^th

Super Follo

612-0

9/2

T: N MeadeJ: Mr M J O'Hare (3)

In rear, last on outer 3f out, soon pushed along, kept on one pace, never a factor op 5/1

6^th

1 ¾

Ballyshannon Rose

511-7

50/1

T: P G FaheyJ: Mr A P Fahey (7)

Mid-division on outer early, headway into 2nd at halfway, ridden in 4th under 3f out, soon weakened

7^th

I'mstillyourbaby

512-0

12/1

T: P A FahyJ: R Deegan (5)

Tracked leader in 2nd at slow early pace, improved to lead after 3f and soon went clear, reduced advantage halfway, joined 6f out, ridden and headed entering straight, weakened

8^th

Soi Cowboy

612-0

25/1

T: Kevin O'SullivanJ: Mr E P O'Brien (7)

Always towards rear, no impression from 3f out, never a factor op 20/1

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Non-Runners

Mama Tried³⁴

Weight: 11-7| Age: 5

T: Charlie Keegan J: Mr J Hogan

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:€1.90Pl:€1.02, €1.90, €3.00EX:€7.90Trifecta:€71.40SF:€10.29

Forecasts

The Very Man (1/1), Dionysis (7/2), Super Follo (9/2), Neptune (7/1), Bigbadandbeautiful (12/1), I'mstillyourbaby (12/1), Soi Cowboy (25/1), Ballyshannon Rose (50/1), Mama Tried (50/1)

Not much to rely on in terms of discernible form in the finale. Blindly, it might be easiest to go with Dionysis, a half-brother to Bacardys, given he represents the trainer/jockey combo that farms these races. He'll be well-found in the betting as will The Very Man having fetched £210,000 out of the Gigginstown coffers. The form of the latter's point-to-point win remains untested. Super Follo has a big absence to defy, though isn't dismissed, but the vote is given to BIGBADANDBEAUTIFUL. The filly has plenty going for on paper and has an in-form Jamie Codd on her side.