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19:15 Newcastle

Friday 30 November 2018

All17:1517:4518:1518:4519:1519:4520:1520:45

sunracing.co.uk Classified Claiming Stakes

Off time: 19:17 | Winning time: 1m 39.3s

1^st

(3)

Placebo Effect

39-4

10/1

T: Ollie PearsJ: Ben Robinson (3)

Held up in mid-division, headway near side of group chasing leaders 2f out, led entering final furlong, ran on well (hand timed) op 11/1 tchd 9/1

2^nd

(7)

Lady Alavesa

39-3

11/4f

T: Miss Gay KellewayJ: Jason Hart

Very awkwardly away, held up towards rear, good headway chasing leaders inside final 2f, went 2nd inside final furlong, kept on same pace op 3/1 tchd 9/2

3^rd

1 ½

(10)

Roman De Brut

69-8

7/2

T: I FurtadoJ: Ray Dawson (5)

Chased leader, led over 2f out, ridden and headed entering final furlong, soon lost 2nd, kept on same pace in 3rd op 6/1 tchd 13/2

4^th

3 ¾

(4)

Street Poet

59-10

8/1

T: M HerringtonJ: J Garritty

Raced keenly, chased leaders, weakened inside final furlong op 7/1 tchd 9/1

5^th

(6)

Broken Wings

39-3

12/1

T: K DalgleishJ: J Fanning

Mid-division, headway near side of group chasing leaders over 2f out, 2nd inside final 2f until over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong op 16/1 tchd 18/1

6^th

(2)

Full Disclosure

48-13

40/1

T: I JardineJ: L Morris

Held up in mid-division, pushed along 3f out, ridden and outpaced over 2f out, never on terms after tchd 33/1

7^th

1 ½

(9)

Count Montecristo

69-2

25/1

T: R Fell & S MurrayJ: Ben Sanderson (5)

Steadied start, held up and behind, never involved op 12/1

8^th

(8)

Assimile

39-1

7/2

T: K R BurkeJ: C Lee

Led, ridden and headed over 2f out, lost 2nd inside final 2f, weakened over 1f out op 3/1 tchd 9/4

9^th

(1)

Sunglider

59-4

14/1

T: D O'MearaJ: P J McDonald

Chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, soon weakened tchd 10/1

10^th

4 ½

(5)

Tha'ir

89-1

28/1

T: Olly WilliamsJ: Faye McManoman (7)

Mid-division, pushed along over 3f out, weakened quickly op 20/1 tchd 16/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£10.60Pl:£3.10, £1.40, £1.50EX:£42.30Trifecta:£181.30SF:£36.69Swingers:£5.10, £8.50, £2.80

Forecasts

Lady Alavesa (11/4), Roman De Brut (7/2), Assimile (7/2), Street Poet (8/1), Placebo Effect (10/1), Broken Wings (12/1), Sunglider (14/1), Count Montecristo (25/1), Tha'ir (28/1), Full Disclosure (40/1)

Far from prime betting material with nine of the ten declared runners separated by about 6lb in the handicap. Gay Kelleway has a reasonable strike-rate at this track (15%) and she's represented by the in-form 3yo filly Lady Alavesa who should remain competitive. However, the vote (in a no-play race) goes to the Karl Burke-trained ASSIMILE. He's probably better suited by the Fibresand at Southwell (does handle Tapeta), but there can be no disputing that his performances have generally improved post wind surgery.