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13:50 Ludlow

Thursday 15 November 2018

All13:2013:5014:2514:5515:3016:00

Jelf Insurance Brokers Novices' Handicap Chase

Off time: 13:50 | Winning time: 3m 56.75s

1^st

Cap St Vincent

511-11

6/1

T: Tim VaughanJ: Alan Johns

Off the pace in 6th, steady headway after 8th, 3rd after next, 2nd before 4 out, led and blundered next, soon ridden, clear before last, kept on well op 4/1

2^nd

Centreofexcellence

710-10

5/2

T: S FlookJ: Max Kendrick (5)

Tended to jump left, chased leader, left in lead 7th, headed 3 out, chased winner, well held before the last op 7/2

3^rd

Inch Lala

612-2

14/1

T: Evan WilliamsJ: Adam Wedge

Held up in 5th place, closer at 6th, headway next, went 2nd at 9th until approaching 4 out, chased leading pair and one pace from 3 out op 9/1 tchd 10/1

4^th

Daylami Kirk

711-9

25/1

T: R J HodgesJ: Matt Griffiths

Keen, held up off the pace in 6th, behind and struggling 9th, tailed off, went poor 4th run-in op 33/1

5^th

Keep Moving

612-1

13/8f

T: P Hobbs & J WhiteJ: T J O'Brien

Prominent in chasing group, closer at 6th, left in 2nd place next, went left 8th, went left again hit next and lost 2nd, chased leaders, weakened before mistake 4 out, lost poor 4th run-in op 5/2

Also Ran

Amirr

812-1

16/1

T: J W MullinsJ: Daniel Sansom (5)

Last pair, jumped right 1st, blundered 2nd and next, pulled up before 3rd op 22/1 tchd 20/1

Comber Mill

611-12

12/1

T: A RalphJ: Andrew Tinkler

Prominent in chasing group, closer when jumped slowly 6th, lost place and never on terms after, tailed off and pulled up before 4 out op 8/1

Dartagnan Le Dun

511-11

14/1

T: A M HalesJ: Kielan Woods

Held up in rear, bumped and unseated rider 1st op 8/1

Sadma

911-1

14/1

T: N LampardJ: Pte Alexandra Bell (7)

Led and set good pace, hit 2nd, blundered and unseated rider 7th op 12/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£5.50Pl:£1.70, £2.60, £2.60EX:£26.80Trifecta:£157.50Tricast:£160.14SF:£26.57Swingers:£3.90, £7.00, £8.10

Forecasts

Keep Moving (13/8), Centreofexcellence (5/2), Cap St Vincent (6/1), Comber Mill (12/1), Inch Lala (14/1), Dartagnan Le Dun (14/1), Sadma (14/1), Amirr (16/1), Daylami Kirk (25/1)

This will take little winning and provides Centreofexcellence with an opportunity to follow up his Bangor success. An 8lb rise should make this harder, however the opposition is mediocre and he would still be expected to go close. Keep Moving has been absent for a year since a career best, however that was on soft ground at Exeter and this will be more of a speed test. The vote goes to CAP ST VINCENT who came from a long way back to finish third behind a stable companion on his chase debut. Some of his hurdles form shows him to be well-handicapped and he can go close if ridden more positively.