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13:30 Carlisle

Monday 12 November 2018

All12:5513:3014:0514:3515:1015:40

Smarkets Novices' Chase

Off time: 13:30 | Winning time: 5m 14.3s

1^st

Vinndication

511-2

1/1f

T: K C BaileyJ: David Bass

Always prominent, led after 3rd, headed 4 out, led again after next, strongly challenged before last, hard driven, ran on well op 11/10 tchd 5/4

2^nd

Uncle Alastair

611-2

7/2

T: N G RichardsJ: B S Hughes

Chased leaders, slow 10th, smooth progress and every chance approaching last, kept on well tchd 10/3

3^rd

Euxton Lane

611-2

9/2

T: O SherwoodJ: L P Aspell

Chased leaders, mistake 2nd, lost place next, rallied before 5 out, chased leaders next, stayed on into 3rd approaching land jumped left last, never able to challenge op 4/1 tchd 5/1

4^th

3 ¼

Red Rising

711-2

5/1

T: D SkeltonJ: Harry Skelton

Prominent, led 4 out, headed after next, weakened approaching last op 13/2

5^th

Claud And Goldie

911-2

66/1

T: Miss S E ForsterJ: Thomas Dowson (3)

In touch on outside, not fluent 5 out, weakened next op 100/1

6^th

Fleminport

511-2

14/1

T: J & A O'NeillJ: R P McLernon

Chased leaders early, soon mid-division, rallied 4 out, never on terms tchd 12/1

7^th

Pookie Pekan

511-2

125/1

T: W ColtherdJ: Sam Coltherd (5)

Chased leaders, lost place after 4th, soon mid-division, weakened 5 out

8^th

Garde Forestier

611-2

125/1

T: R MenziesJ: C O'Farrell

Always in rear, struggling 9th, soon beaten op 150/1

9^th

Arctic Vodka

611-2

100/1

T: Mrs S A WattJ: Ross Chapman (3)

Mid-division, weakened halfway

10^th

2 ¼

Dark Valley

811-2

200/1

T: Micky HammondJ: Alain Cawley

Always behind, under pressure 9th, never a factor

11^th

Nine O Three

611-2

200/1

T: Micky HammondJ: Joe Colliver

Led until after 3rd, chased leaders, lost place 8th, tailed off 4 out

Also Ran

Brackenmoss Rory

611-2

200/1

T: A C WhillansJ: Craig Nichol

In rear, jumped right 1st and 2nd and badly right when unseated rider 3rd

Valnamixe Du Mee

911-2

100/1

T: R MenziesJ: Nathan Moscrop (5)

In rear, mistake 8th, soon beaten, blundered and unseated rider 4 out

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.80Pl:£1.10, £1.60, £1.60EX:£5.10Trifecta:£13.40SF:£5.19Swingers:£1.50, £1.60, £2.80

Forecasts

Vinndication (1/1), Uncle Alastair (7/2), Euxton Lane (9/2), Red Rising (5/1), Fleminport (14/1), Claud And Goldie (66/1), Arctic Vodka (100/1), Valnamixe Du Mee (100/1), Pookie Pekan (125/1), Garde Forestier (125/1), Dark Valley (200/1), Nine O Three (200/1), Brackenmoss Rory (200/1)

On paper, this promises to be a thoroughly informative Novices' Chase which should generate a plethora of future winners. Red Rising (Dan Skelton) and Uncle Alastair (Nicky Richards) both carry the Paul and Clare Rooney silks and are guaranteed to make an impression in this grade of contest on known bumper and hurdles form, but the same can also be said of the likes of Euxton Lane (Oliver Sherwood) and Fleminport (Jonjo O'Neill). However, the figures suggest that the Kim Bailey-trained VINNDICATION will take some stopping if equally effective over fences, so he's taken to improve the fine strike-rate of the Andoversford trainer at Carlisle since 1998 (4-19; 21%).