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17:00 Chelmsford City

Saturday 10 November 2018

All16:3017:0017:3018:0018:3019:0019:30

Bet toteexacta At totesport.com Novice Stakes

Off time: 17:03 | Winning time: 1m 24.77s

1^st

(7)

Battle Of Waterloo

29-2

10/1

T: J RyanJ: L Morris

Chased leaders, went 2nd over 2f out, led over 1f out, clear inside final furlong, easily op 7/1

2^nd

4 ½

(3)

Dubai Luxury

28-11

5/2

T: S bin SuroorJ: George Wood

Slowly into stride, mid-division, field soon well strung out, headway over 1f out, switched left inside final furlong, stayed on, went 2nd close home, no impression on winner op 4/1

3^rd

(8)

Al Messila

28-11

8/1

T: R HannonJ: Tom Marquand

Led 1f, chased leader, ridden over 2f out, no impression on winner final furlong, lost 2nd close home op 10/1

4^th

1 ¾

(6)

No Trouble

29-2

12/1

T: J NosedaJ: K T O'Neill

Tracked leaders, lost plenty of ground on front 3 over 4f out, effort over 1f out, one pace op 16/1

5^th

(4)

True Belief

29-2

4/5f

T: C ApplebyJ: David Egan

Raced freely, led after 1f, headed over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong op 1/2

6^th

1 ¼

(1)

Leo Davinci

29-2

8/1

T: George ScottJ: Josephine Gordon

Mid-division, field soon well strung out, headway over 1f out, no impression, slightly checked inside final furlong

7^th

1 ¾

(9)

Dance To Freedom

29-2

20/1

T: S C WilliamsJ: Callum Shepherd

Went right start, behind, some headway over 1f out, no chance op 33/1 tchd 16/1

8^th

(5)

Monadante

29-2

50/1

T: G & J MooreJ: J F Egan

Slowly into stride, always in rear, tailed off final 3f op 66/1

9^th

(2)

Ketts Hill

29-2

40/1

T: A CarsonJ: William Carson

Mid-division, field soon well strung out, reminders over 4f out, well behind final 3f

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£12.70Pl:£3.60, £1.50, £2.60EX:£55.60Trifecta:£342.70SF:£40.19Swingers:£4.70, £12.40, £4.10

Forecasts

True Belief (4/5), Dubai Luxury (5/2), Al Messila (8/1), Leo Davinci (8/1), Battle Of Waterloo (10/1), No Trouble (12/1), Dance To Freedom (20/1), Ketts Hill (40/1), Monadante (50/1)

It usually pays to follow Godolphin juveniles around here so the market should be informative regarding the prospects of TRUE BELIEF and Dubai Luxury. The selection makes more appeal on pedigree and this represents a drop in class. He has looked green on his two previous starts and a gelding operation suggests there may have been a physical problem. Leo Davinci looks a danger given the promise shown on debut and Al Messila has a nice pedigree but a wide draw may not be helpful.