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15:15 Hereford

Monday 5 November 2018

All13:4514:1514:4515:1515:4516:15

Central Roofing Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 15:15 | Winning time: 3m 53.4s

1^st

What's Occurring

511-6

4/6f

T: O SherwoodJ: L P Aspell

Tracked leader, hit 2nd, led after 2 out, clear before last, easily op 8/11 tchd 8/13

2^nd

Super Scorpion

811-0

9/4

T: Mrs D A HamerJ: R Johnson

Led, mistake 2 out, soon headed, no impression on winner before last, stayed on same pace tchd 2/1

3^rd

4 ½

Valseur Du Granval

911-0

9/2

T: T R GeorgeJ: C Gethings

Tracked leaders, ridden after 2 out, stayed on same pace, no chance with winner before last

4^th

Nomination Game

711-0

50/1

T: R DickinJ: J M Quinlan

Took keen hold in rear, no chance with leaders from 3rd, went remote 4th last, tailed off

5^th

Bonjour Steve

711-0

66/1

T: R J PriceJ: Brendan Powell

Towards rear, no chance with leaders from 3rd, went remote 4th before 5th until last, tailed off op 50/1

6^th

Mustaaqeem

611-0

16/1

T: B J LlewellynJ: Robert Williams (3)

Jumped badly right on occasions, mid-division, lost place after 2nd, well behind from next, tailed off after 3 out tchd 18/1

7^th

1 ¼

Zorlu

511-0

40/1

T: D BurchellJ: C Brace (7)

Towards rear, no chance with leaders from 3rd, blundered 5th, tailed off

8^th

1 ½

Tis Wonderful

411-0

66/1

T: C J GrayJ: M G Nolan

Mid-division, carried right 1st, no chance with leaders from 3rd, tailed off

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Non-Runners

Right Royals Day¹

Weight: 10-7| Age: 9

T: J L Needham J: Non Runner

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.40Pl:£1.10, £1.10, £1.20EX:£2.10Trifecta:£4.60SF:£2.83Swingers:£1.10, £1.20, £1.10

Forecasts

What's Occurring (4/6), Super Scorpion (9/4), Valseur Du Granval (9/2), Mustaaqeem (16/1), Zorlu (40/1), Nomination Game (50/1), Right Royals Day (50/1), Bonjour Steve (66/1), Tis Wonderful (66/1)

Very little strength in depth in this although due to the various quirks of two of the main protagonists we could have some fun and games at the finish. Despite having to concede 6lb to the whole field C&D winner WHAT'S OCCURRING looks the safest option given that he’s straightforward and jumps well. Super Scorpion really ought to have won last time out when he idled and was caught on the run-in although he did have to have his slipping hood removed at halfway and incident won’t have helped. Valseur Du Granval returns from a break having found the handicapper tough on him over fences; he travels well but isn’t the strongest finisher and may get outbattled here.