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15:15 Perth

Wednesday 26 September 2018

All14:1014:4015:1515:4516:2016:5017:20

Birdie's 2019 Wall & Desk Calendars Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:16 | Winning time: 3m 56.35s

1^st

Ontopoftheworld

911-12

11/8f

T: P & M BowenJ: James Bowen

Chased leader, led before 5th (water), steadied pace after next, shaken up before 2 out, soon clear, kept on strongly op 6/4 tchd 13/8

2^nd

2 ½

Mumgos Debut

1011-9

11/1

T: Miss Lucinda V RussellJ: D R Fox

Led and set decent pace, headed before 5th (water), chased winner until 4 out, chased leaders, kept on into 2nd towards finish, no chance with winner op 12/1 tchd 10/1

3^rd

Vino's Choice

610-9

7/2

T: Miss Lucinda V RussellJ: Blair Campbell (5)

Held up last, outpaced 8th, headway approaching 3 out, 3rd next, 2nd and well held when hit last, hung right run-in, lost 2nd towards finish op 4/1 tchd 10/3

4^th

2 ¼

King Muro

811-11

3/1

T: F O'BrienJ: P J Brennan

Chased clear leading pair, awkward 5th (water) hit 6th and closer before next, 2nd 4 out, pushed along and hit 2 out, well held when lost 2nd at the last, weakened run-in op 11/4

5^th

Lough Kent

912-0

7/1

T: James MoffattJ: B S Hughes

Held up in 4th place, closer after 6th, pushed along before 3 out, weakened soon after tchd 8/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.80Pl:£1.10, £4.20EX:£10.60Trifecta:£37.00SF:£14.13

Forecasts

Ontopoftheworld (11/8), King Muro (3/1), Vino's Choice (7/2), Lough Kent (7/1), Mumgos Debut (11/1)

A poor numerical turnout with Lucinda Russell responsible for 40% of those declared; doubly represented by Mumgos Debut and Vino's Choice. However, this looks to lie between the dropped back in trip King Muro and the slightly fortuitous, albeit decisive Stratford winner ONTOPOFTHEWORLD. With no strong preference for either horse, and little between the pair in the weights (just 1lb), the safest option is to side with the likely market leader.