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15:25 Chepstow

Thursday 23 August 2018

All13:4514:1514:5015:2516:0016:3017:05

bet365 EBF Novice Stakes

Off time: 15:25 | Winning time: 59.26s

1^st

(1)

Dancing Warrior

28-11

13/2

T: W J KnightJ: L Morris

Raced far side, led overall, came clear in group over 1f out, ran on under pressure, held on, unchallenged op 6/1

2^nd

(10)

K Club

29-4

4/5f

T: R HannonJ: Rossa Ryan (3)

Raced near side, chased leaders, ran on under pressure inside final furlong, went 2nd towards finish, not reach winner op 11/8

3^rd

(9)

Lady Aria

28-11

7/4

T: M L W BellJ: Hayley Turner

Chased leaders near side, led that group over 1f out, not quite on terms with winner, lost 2nd towards finish op 5/4 tchd 15/8

4^th

(7)

Tomahawk Ridge

29-2

22/1

T: J GallagherJ: Charlie Bennett (3)

Led near side group, not quite on terms with far side leaders, headed in group inside final 2f, weakened inside final furlong tchd 25/1

5^th

(3)

Big Boots

29-9

12/1

T: M R ChannonJ: Callum Shepherd

Steadied start, chased leaders far side, ridden and weakened inside final furlong

6^th

(4)

Glamorous Crescent

28-11

100/1

T: C MasonJ: Finley Marsh (5)

Raced near side, chased leader until inside final 2f, weakened final furlong

7^th

1 ¼

(5)

La Roca Del Fuego

29-2

66/1

T: S DurackJ: S W Kelly

Raced far side, chased winner, pushed along halfway, well held when lost overall 2nd over 1f out, weakened final furlong

8^th

(2)

Brother Bentley

29-2

40/1

T: R HarrisJ: David Probert

Chased far side leaders, ridden and weakened over 1f out

9^th

1 ½

(6)

Messua

28-11

100/1

T: J TuiteJ: Nicola Currie (3)

Raced near side, chased group leader until inside final 2f, weakened over 1f out

10^th

1 ¾

(8)

Oofy Prosser

29-2

33/1

T: H J L DunlopJ: M Harley

Raced near side, always behind

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£10.20Pl:£2.10, £1.10, £1.10EX:£20.40Trifecta:£31.50SF:£13.07Swingers:£2.70, £3.00, £1.20

Forecasts

K Club (4/5), Lady Aria (7/4), Dancing Warrior (13/2), Big Boots (12/1), Tomahawk Ridge (22/1), Oofy Prosser (33/1), Brother Bentley (40/1), La Roca Del Fuego (66/1), Glamorous Crescent (100/1), Messua (100/1)

K Club is the one to beat on form but it's a slight concern that we've not seen her since her debut win in May, and preference is for LADY ARIA, who shaped well against the improving Firelight on her debut and the 5lb she gets from K Club, plus the fact she may well improve plenty for that run, swings the vote her way. Dancing Warrior isn't out of this either and could reward e/w support.