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14:10 Cartmel

Wednesday 30 May 2018

All14:1014:4015:1015:4016:1016:4017:15

Mail Picnic Day Handicap Hurdle

Off time: 14:11 | Winning time: 5m 33.7s

1^st

Allfredandnobell

510-13

4/1

T: Micky HammondJ: Miss Becky Smith (5)

Held up, headway before 7th, challenged after 2 out, led last, in command after, kept on well tchd 7/2

2^nd

2 ½

Volcanic

911-12

3/1

T: D McCain JnrJ: B S Hughes

Led until after 1st, pressed leader, led before 6th, headed last, held after, kept on tchd 11/4

3^rd

Perseid

810-0

12/1

T: B ButterworthJ: Sean Quinlan

Held up, close d7th, every chance after 2 out, 4th and beaten when not fluent last, went 3rd close home op 16/1

4^th

Rock Of Leon

711-3

5/1

T: P A KirbyJ: Nathan Moscrop (5)

Prominent, outpaced after 2 out, 3rd and no impression last, lost 3rd close home op 11/2 tchd 9/2

5^th

Doctor Thea

511-2

5/2f

T: Jedd O'KeeffeJ: Joe Colliver

Prominent, not much room and lost place after 1st, reminder after 3rd, slow and more reminders 5th, not fluent and behind from next op 11/4 tchd 3/1

6^th

Stags Leap

1110-11

6/1

T: Julia BrookeJ: Henry Brooke

Held up in rear, headway after 8th, not fluent 2 out, soon outpaced and no impression op 13/2 tchd 8/1

7^th

Exit To Freedom

1210-0

100/1

T: J S WainwrightJ: Amie Waugh (7)

Soon prominent, led after 1st, headed before 6th, hung left briefly before not fluent 7th, lost place before 2 out, tailed off op 66/1

Also Ran

Wood Breizh

811-10

25/1

T: James MoffattJ: S Bowen

Soon held up in touch, lost place after 8th, well behind when pulled up before 2 out op 12/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£5.80Pl:£2.10, £1.50, £3.30EX:£18.10Trifecta:£152.50Tricast:£132.64SF:£17.30Swingers:£2.00, £8.10, £6.50

Forecasts

Doctor Thea (5/2), Volcanic (3/1), Allfredandnobell (4/1), Rock Of Leon (5/1), Stags Leap (6/1), Perseid (12/1), Wood Breizh (25/1), Exit To Freedom (100/1)

Not too many of these can be relied upon to run their race, so we'll focus upon those in the best recent form. Rock Of Leon has only been racing in sellers, but assuming that he stays he's well placed by connections back in handicap company. Wood Breizh could be a totally different horse following wind surgery, and he was most likely bought by James Moffatt with Cartmel in mind, but this track will suit the prominent racing style of DOCTOR THEA who remains unexposed in this grade despite an 8lb rise for her Market Rasen success.