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16:20 Ascot

Wednesday 2 May 2018

All14:0014:3515:1015:4516:2016:55

Celebrating The Commonwealth Paradise Stakes (Listed)

Off time: 16:28 | Winning time: 1m 45.25s

1^st

(8)

Century Dream

49-0

5/2

T: S & E CrisfordJ: W Buick

Raced alone towards far side and well on terms, edged right towards main group over 2f out, led inside final 2f, ridden hung right and kept on final furlong op 10/3

2^nd

(7)

Crazy Horse

59-0

25/1

T: George BakerJ: Jim Crowley

Overall leader in main group, narrowly headed over 3f out, in front again over 2f out, narrowly headed by winner racing towards near side inside final 2f, stayed on inside final furlong, always held op 20/1 tchd 16/1

3^rd

2 ¼

(4)

Accidental Agent

49-0

2/1f

T: Eve Johnson HoughtonJ: Charles Bishop

Held up in touch, headway chasing leaders over 2f out, 3rd and one pace final furlong op 6/4

4^th

3 ½

(2)

Star Quality

48-9

50/1

T: D LoughnaneJ: S De Sousa

Took keen hold, held up in rear, plugged on in modest 4th final furlong, never involved

5^th

2 ¼

(3)

Circus Couture

69-0

14/1

T: Jane Chapple-HyamJ: S Donohoe

Tracked leaders, weakened over 2f out tchd 16/1

6^th

(5)

Victory Bond

59-0

5/2

T: W J HaggasJ: R L Moore

Tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, weakened soon after op 11/4

7^th

4 ½

(6)

Ballard Down

59-0

10/1

T: W J KnightJ: Harry Bentley

Took keen hold, tracked leader, slight lead over 3f out until over 2f out, weakened quickly, soon behind op 14/1 tchd 9/1

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Non-Runners

(1)

Hors De Combat⁷⁶

Weight: 9-0| Age: 7

T: D J Coakley J: Andrea Atzeni

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£3.10Pl:£2.50, £5.20EX:£39.90Trifecta:£100.40SF:£53.96Swingers:£5.90, £1.60, £7.80

Forecasts

Accidental Agent (2/1), Century Dream (5/2), Victory Bond (5/2), Hors De Combat (6/1), Ballard Down (10/1), Circus Couture (14/1), Crazy Horse (25/1), Star Quality (50/1)

Not the easiest of contests to solve with the progressive Easter Classic winner Victory Bond switched back to turf from the AW, but with the straight mile at Ascot (particularly on soft ground) presenting a very different test to the sharp turning circuit at Lingfield Park. Century Dream will handle the conditions, but even allowing for the grade (Group 2), he was rather disappointing on his seasonal return at Longchamp, so we'll stick with the Ascot proven ACCIDENTAL AGENT. He needs to prove he's capable of making the step up from handicaps, but he's progressive enough overall and might just have found a relatively winnable Listed contest in which to return to action.