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14:40 Newcastle

Saturday 3 March 2018

All14:0514:4015:1515:5016:2016:5517:30

Noel Fehily Cheltenham Previews At 188Bet 'Jumpers' Bumper' NH Flat Race

  • 5YO plus  |   Class 4  |   2m 56y  |   Standard  |   5 Runners  |   Allweather  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 14:40  |   Winning time: 3m 58.2s
1st
Horse silk
2
Lough Kent
911-4
11/2
T: James MoffattJ: Charlotte Jones (10)
Held up in close 5th, smooth headway tracking leaders 3f out, 2nd over 2f out, led over 1f out, ridden and edged left briefly inside final furlong, stayed on op 9/1
2nd
Horse silk
1 ½
1
Ballycrystal
711-4
10/11f
T: B EllisonJ: Danny Cook
Tracked leaders on inside, led over 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, chased winner, one pace inside final furlong op 8/13
3rd
Horse silk
2 ½
3
Return Flight
711-4
10/1
T: R MenziesJ: C O'Farrell
Tracked leader until over 2f out, kept on same pace in 3rd final 2f op 8/1
4th
Horse silk
4 ½
5
Thankyou Very Much
810-11
7/1
T: J D BethellJ: B S Hughes
Tracked leaders, effort on outside 3f out, weakened final furlong tchd 7/2
5th
Horse silk
3 ¾
4
Valgor Du Ronceray
911-4
7/2
T: Micky HammondJ: Finian O'Toole (3)
Led until over 2f out, weakened quickly, soon behind op 14/1 tchd 18/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£6.20Pl:£3.90, £1.02EX:£15.30Trifecta:£42.10SF:£11.98

Forecasts

Ballycrystal (10/11), Valgor Du Ronceray (7/2), Lough Kent (11/2), Thankyou Very Much (7/1), Return Flight (10/1)

Verdict

With slight doubts about a few of these runners, most notably the returning stable debutante Return Flight, the horse that can perhaps be expected to run her usual solid race is the track smart mare Thankyou Very Much. However, one must have some reservations as to whether or not she's strong enough to cope with the classy BALLYCRYSTAL. Brian Ellison appears primed to 'farm' these additional jumpers bumper fixtures this weekend, and his 130-rated winning hurdler rates as the pick here.
  1. Ballycrystal
  2. Lough Kent
  3. Thankyou Very Much

Prize Money

1st: £3,249.002nd: £954.003rd: £477.004th: £238.00

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