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15:45 Newcastle

Thursday 8 February 2018

All14:0514:4015:1015:4516:2016:5517:30

Betway Apprentice Handicap (Div 2)

Off time: 15:45 | Winning time: 2m 14.82s

1^st

(9)

Outlaw Torn

98-13

5/1

T: R C GuestJ: Connor Murtagh

Raced freely, made all and soon well clear, at least 30 lengths ahead halfway, never looked like coming back to field, stayed on strongly, unchallenged op 9/2 tchd 11/2

2^nd

(5)

Zarkavon

48-8

100/1

T: J S WainwrightJ: Faye McManoman (5)

Prominent in chasing group, plugged on into 2nd final 100 yards, never near winner

3^rd

1 ¼

(1)

Falcon's Fire

59-4

14/1

T: K DalgleishJ: Patrick Vaughan

Chased (clear) winner and never remotely on terms, lost 2nd final 100 yards op 10/1

4^th

(3)

Bollihope

69-10

9/4f

T: R C GuestJ: Jack Osborn

Awkwardly away, held up off the pace towards rear, headway under pressure 2f out, went 4th final furlong, never near winner op 2/1 tchd 7/4

5^th

(6)

Leonard Thomas

89-2

9/2

T: R MenziesJ: Paula Muir

Slowly into stride, held up last and well off the pace, headway over 1f out, went 5th inside final furlong, never near winner op 5/1

6^th

(8)

Stoneboat Bill

69-7

5/2

T: D CarrollJ: G C O'Neill

Prominent in chasing group, some late headway, never near winner op 7/2

7^th

(2)

Captain Peaky

58-10

11/1

T: P HolmesJ: Jane Elliott

Raced keenly, prominent in chasing group, never near winner, weakened final furlong op 12/1

8^th

1 ¾

(7)

Mangata

48-13

20/1

T: P A KirbyJ: Jamie Gormley

Raced keenly, held up off the pace towards rear, pushed along 4f out, never a factor op 16/1

9^th

(4)

Beau Strata

48-11

66/1

T: C A MulhallJ: Harrison Shaw

Prominent in chasing group, pushed along 3f out, weakened soon after

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£3.70Pl:£1.50, £15.40, £3.00EX:£254.70Trifecta:£3,060.30Tricast:£6,412.54SF:£407.89Swingers:£48.20, £17.80, £48.20

Forecasts

Bollihope (9/4), Stoneboat Bill (5/2), Leonard Thomas (9/2), Outlaw Torn (5/1), Captain Peaky (11/1), Falcon's Fire (14/1), Mangata (20/1), Beau Strata (66/1), Zarkavon (100/1)

Probably a weaker contest than Division 1 which takes place 35 mins earlier, so we'll not dwell for too long. Leonard Thomas has performed respectably (without winning) since joining Rebecca Menzies, and ought to have some sort of positive role to play despite the drop back in trip whilst both Stoneboat Bill and Falcon's Fire could be competitive on the basis of their strongest career efforts. However, we'll keep it simple and take the chance that a wind operation has worked the oracle for BOLLIHOPE. He's essentially better than these rivals and lurks from a competitive handicap mark over a C&D that suits him down to the ground.