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13:20 Wincanton

Thursday 1 February 2018

All13:2013:5014:2515:0015:3516:1016:45

Carling Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 13:20 | Winning time: 4m 3.3s

1^st

Molineaux

711-2

10/11f

T: C L TizzardJ: T Scudamore

Chased leaders, went 2nd from 3rd, led before next, clear after 2 out until last, driven flat, stayed on op 5/6 tchd 4/5

2^nd

Le Musee

511-2

40/1

T: N J HawkeJ: Tom Cannon

Held up towards rear, 7th and some headway after 3 out, went 2nd after 2 out, closed last, edged left flat, stayed on

3^rd

Champagne Champ

611-2

4/1

T: B R MillmanJ: L P Aspell

Chased leaders, went 2nd briefly when mistake 2 out, 3rd and beaten before last, no extra flat op 9/2

4^th

Aardwolf

410-6

7/2

T: W GreatrexJ: R Johnson

Chased leaders, went 2nd from the 2nd until 3rd, every chance before 2 out, 4th and weakening before last tchd 4/1

5^th

Samson The Man

511-2

9/1

T: Noel WilliamsJ: Thomas Garner (3)

In rear, not fluent 2nd, remote 8th after 3 out, tailed off op 10/1 tchd 8/1

6^th

Newquay Cards

611-2

150/1

T: Evan WilliamsJ: Conor Ring (3)

Not always fluent, chased clear leader until 2nd, 6th after 3 out, soon weakened, tailed off

7^th

Hardness

511-2

25/1

T: P Hobbs & J WhiteJ: T J O'Brien

Held up towards rear, headway on outside after 4th, 5th after 3 out, soon weakened, tailed off op 33/1

8^th

3 ¾

East Wing

611-2

33/1

T: A J HoneyballJ: Aidan Coleman

Mid-division, 9th and struggling after 3 out, soon well behind, mistake 2 out, tailed off

9^th

Turbotim

511-2

66/1

T: M ScudamoreJ: Benjamin Poste

Mid-division, not fluent 1st, tailed off 11th after 3 out

Also Ran

Mr Magill

611-2

150/1

T: Nick MitchellJ: James Banks

Took keen hold, led and clear, not fluent 2nd, mistake next, headed before 4th, soon weakened, mistake 3 out, pulled up before 2 out

Pyrios

511-2

25/1

T: P Hobbs & J WhiteJ: M G Nolan

Held up towards rear, headway from 4th, 4th after 3 out, 5th and weakening when fell 2 out op 28/1

Attractive Liason

810-9

150/1

T: N P MulhollandJ: P K Donovan (7)

In rear, well behind 10th after 3 out, tailed off, pulled up

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.70Pl:£1.02, £11.70, £1.70EX:£58.60Trifecta:£242.70SF:£53.82Swingers:£18.20, £2.10, £28.90

Forecasts

Molineaux (10/11), Aardwolf (7/2), Champagne Champ (4/1), Samson The Man (9/1), Hardness (25/1), Pyrios (25/1), East Wing (33/1), Le Musee (40/1), Turbotim (66/1), Newquay Cards (150/1), Attractive Liason (150/1), Mr Magill (150/1)

On all we know, this looks like Molineaux's to lose but the form of the Colin Tizzard yard means that confidence is tempered somewhat. Instead, the recommendation is a small each-way bet on SAMSON THE MAN, who is progressing nicely and in a race lacking a lot of depth, ought to be able to take a hand in the finish with another small step forward. Aardwolf and Champagne Champ were both useful on the Flat, and preference is for the latter here. He may be able to take third.