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19:30 Chelmsford City

Thursday 25 January 2018

All17:5518:3019:0019:3020:0020:3021:00

Bet toteexacta At betfred.com Handicap

Off time: 19:32 | Winning time: 3m 32.0s

1^st

(1)

Alternate Route

49-6

6/4j

T: Sir Mark PrescottJ: A Kirby

Held up in touch, ridden to lead final furlong, kept on well op 13/8

2^nd

3 ¾

(5)

Mambo Dancer

49-4

6/4j

T: C & M JohnstonJ: J Fanning

Tracked leader, ridden to lead over 1f out, headed final furlong, one pace op 7/4 tchd 15/8

3^rd

(6)

Fitzwilly

89-13

8/1

T: M R ChannonJ: Paddy Bradley (5)

Led, ridden over 2f out, headed over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong op 7/1

4^th

(3)

Excellent Puck

89-8

9/1

T: S LycettJ: Callum Shepherd (5)

Towards rear, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, no extra op 8/1

5^th

1 ¾

(7)

Milord

910-2

16/1

T: K C BaileyJ: Patrick Vaughan (7)

Held up mid-division, ridden over 1f out, no impression op 18/1 tchd 20/1

6^th

4 ½

(2)

Smiley Bagel

59-9

16/1

T: E WalkerJ: L P Keniry

Tracked leaders, ridden over 2f out, weakened over 1f out op 14/1 tchd 12/1

7^th

(4)

Lady Clitico

79-2

33/1

T: R MenziesJ: P J McDonald

Held up towards rear, ridden over 2f out, soon outpaced op 22/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.80Pl:£1.10, £1.80EX:£4.50Trifecta:£12.40SF:£3.81Swingers:£1.50, £2.30, £2.20

Forecasts

Alternate Route (6/4), Mambo Dancer (6/4), Fitzwilly (8/1), Excellent Puck (9/1), Milord (16/1), Smiley Bagel (16/1), Lady Clitico (33/1)

This looks at the mercy of MAMBO DANCER, who came good at Newcastle last time, making all the running, and it's not difficult to see a similar scenario unfolding here. We know how tough Mark Johnston horses are to pass when allowed an easy time on the front, and the follow-up looks likely. Alternate Route would look the forecast option on paper, but he may not be straightforward and preference is for Milord, from a yard going well at present and might find this a bit easier.