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15:55 Wincanton

Thursday 18 January 2018

All13:1013:4014:1014:4515:2015:55

Higos For Your Thatch Insurance 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle

Off time: 15:55 | Winning time: 4m 6.6s

1^st

Jurby

811-4

13/8f

T: O SherwoodJ: L P Aspell

Held up towards rear, headway 3rd, 3rd after 3 out, challenged 2 out, soon led but hard pressed, stayed on well, in command towards finish op 6/4 tchd 11/10

2^nd

2 ¼

Grand Sancy

410-7

5/2

T: P F NichollsJ: Sam Twiston-Davies

Held up in mid-division, headway after 3rd, went 2nd after 3 out, led before not fluent 2 out, soon headed but stayed pressing winner until held towards finish op 15/8 tchd 9/4

3^rd

Inaminna

711-4

6/1

T: N P MulhollandJ: N D Fehily

Held up in rear, headway from 4th, went 3rd 2 out, no impression, stayed on same pace op 13/2 tchd 7/1

4^th

Diablerets

511-4

80/1

T: R WoollacottJ: James Best

Chased leaders, 2nd 4th, led 3 out, headed before 2 out, soon weakened

5^th

Robin De Broome

611-4

66/1

T: B BarrJ: Thomas Garner (3)

Prominent, led before 4th, headed 3 out, weakened before 2 out

6^th

Willie Mclovin

611-4

150/1

T: C J GrayJ: M G Nolan

Held up in mid-division, struggling from 3rd, well beaten 3 out op 200/1

7^th

1 ½

Moving In Style

711-4

50/1

T: N P MulhollandJ: P K Donovan (7)

Prominent, left in lead before 3rd, headed before next, mistake 3 out, soon weakened op 66/1

8^th

1 ¾

Commodore

611-4

3/1

T: Miss V WilliamsJ: Charlie Deutsch (3)

Jumped left at times, mid-division, headway 3rd, ridden and weakened after 3 out op 7/1 tchd 9/1

9^th

St Merryn

711-4

200/1

T: B R SummersJ: Charlie Hammond (7)

Held up in mid-division, ridden after 3rd, well beaten 3 out

10^th

Big Fred

711-4

33/1

T: B J LlewellynJ: Dave Crosse

Took keen hold, mistakes, in rear, well beaten before 3 out op 25/1

Also Ran

Daylami Kirk

711-4

18/1

T: R J HodgesJ: Nick Scholfield

Jumped left, led, not fluent 1st, ran out on stable bend before 3rd op 20/1 tchd 16/1

Nuclear

511-4

50/1

T: J W MullinsJ: A Thornton

Prominent, lost place 3rd, hanging left and well beaten before 3 out, pulled up before next

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Non-Runners

Stand By Me⁸¹

Weight: 11-4| Age: 8

T: A E Jones J: T J O'Brien

Solstice Twilight³⁸

Weight: 10-11| Age: 6

T: A J Honeyball J: David Noonan

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.10Pl:£1.10, £1.10, £2.20EX:£8.40Trifecta:£14.60SF:£6.20Swingers:£2.10, £2.10, £2.40

Forecasts

Jurby (13/8), Grand Sancy (5/2), Commodore (3/1), Inaminna (6/1), Daylami Kirk (18/1), Solstice Twilight (25/1), Big Fred (33/1), Moving In Style (50/1), Nuclear (50/1), Robin De Broome (66/1), Stand By Me (66/1), Diablerets (80/1), Willie Mclovin (150/1), St Merryn (200/1)

Favourites have won seven of the ten runnings of this and Paul Nicholls has placed three of his eight runners to advantage in it. With that in mind Grand Sancy has to be considered on his hurdling debut and in receipt of a handy allowance. His bumper form is only average, but this race is far from competitive. A lot hinges on how JURBY has come out of his return from a 30 month layoff. His second to Dr Des looks strong given that rival is now rated in the 140s. The selection looked ill at ease on the tight Stratford circuit that day, but remained a threat to the winner until the lack of a run began to tell. Oliver Sherwood's charge will take all the beating if running to that form in the most testing conditions he has faced. Inaminna and Big Fred look the pick of the rest.