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17:10 Kempton

Wednesday 20 December 2017

All16:1016:4017:1017:4018:1018:4019:1019:40

32Red On The App Store Novice Stakes (Div 1)

Off time: 17:15 | Winning time: 1m 37.89s

1^st

(1)

Glencadam Master

29-2

13/8

T: J & T GosdenJ: R Havlin

Made all, ridden over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, stayed on well op 5/4

2^nd

1 ¾

(2)

Tum Tum

29-2

6/1

T: M MeadeJ: F Norton

Prominent, ridden over 1f out, unable to challenge winner final furlong but stayed on well

3^rd

2 ½

(7)

Battle Lines

29-2

25/1

T: J TateJ: Fran Berry

Towards rear, headway from 2f out, stayed on, went 3rd well inside final furlong, unable to challenge op 33/1

4^th

1 ¼

(3)

Statehood

29-9

11/8f

T: C ApplebyJ: A Kirby

Prominent, ridden and not quicken 1f out, no extra and lost 3rd well inside final furlong op 7/4

5^th

2 ¼

(10)

Valyrian

29-2

20/1

T: L M CumaniJ: L Morris

Mid-division, headway over 6f out, stayed on same pace from over 1f out op 25/1

6^th

3 ¾

(11)

Braemar

29-2

12/1

T: Sir Michael StouteJ: Oisin Murphy

Held up, pushed along over 2f out, never dangerous

7^th

(8)

Passing Clouds

29-2

40/1

T: M J AttwaterJ: Kieren Fox

Prominent, steadied over 6f out, pushed along over 3f out, no progress op 50/1

8^th

(6)

Thama

28-11

100/1

T: Mrs I G-LevequeJ: Daniel Muscutt

Mid-division, headway on inside 3f out, edged right and weakened over 1f out

9^th

1 ¾

(4)

Pastoral Dreams

29-2

100/1

T: S DowJ: Hollie Doyle

Slowly into stride, always behind

10^th

(12)

Dawn Dash

28-11

50/1

T: R M BeckettJ: Josephine Gordon

Tracked leaders, flashed tail over 3f out, ridden over 2f out, soon beaten op 66/1

11^th

2 ¼

(9)

Billy Star

29-2

200/1

T: J C FoxJ: K T O'Neill

Mid-division, ridden and struggling over 2f out

12^th

(5)

Houlton

29-2

80/1

T: M BottiJ: K Shoemark

Slowly into stride, towards rear, driven over 3f out, no impression

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Non-Runners

(13)

La Mernancia¹⁵

Weight: 8-11| Age: 2

T: J A Osborne J: D C Costello

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£2.40Pl:£1.10, £1.60, £6.70EX:£12.00Trifecta:£123.70SF:£11.35Swingers:£2.10, £7.80, £20.00

Forecasts

Statehood (11/8), Glencadam Master (13/8), Tum Tum (6/1), La Mernancia (10/1), Braemar (12/1), Valyrian (20/1), Battle Lines (25/1), Passing Clouds (40/1), Dawn Dash (50/1), Houlton (80/1), Thama (100/1), Pastoral Dreams (100/1), Billy Star (200/1)

STATEHOOD was strong at the finish when scoring on debut over 7f at Lingfield, and a step up in trip to 1m looks the order of the day. This Kodiac colt cost 200,000 gns as a foal, and despite having a penalty to carry for that success looks the most likely winner on paper. Tum Tum should be thereabouts on his third start, and will be better suited by his low draw tonight, whilst Glencadam Master will almost certainly expose any stamina weaknesses (not anticipated) of the selection after a pleasing effort over further (1m2f) when runner up to the Godolphin owned Ipsolini last month. Of the newcomers, Valyrian is certainly a horse to respect on his pedigree.