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12:40 Southwell

Tuesday 28 November 2017

All12:1012:4013:1013:4014:1014:4015:1015:40

Betway Casino Maiden Stakes

Off time: 12:42 | Winning time: 2m 39.99s

1^st

(7)

Summer Name

59-10

33/1

T: Miss R CurtisJ: T J Murphy

Slowly away, outpaced, wide and progress 4f out, to go 4th, headway and green towards stand side 2f out, led entering final furlong, ran on op 50/1

2^nd

4 ½

(5)

Epitaph

39-5

9/2

T: M ApplebyJ: L Morris

Close up, tracked leader over 4f out, ridden 3f out, every chance over 1f out, one pace final furlong op 4/1

3^rd

(11)

Gakku

39-0

4/6f

T: R VarianJ: J Mitchell

Led, ridden over 2f out, headed entering final furlong, weakened tamely op 8/11 tchd 5/6

4^th

(3)

Qasr

39-5

8/1

T: K DalgleishJ: P Makin

Dwelt, close up, ridden 5f out, outpaced over 3f out

5^th

(4)

Leodis

59-10

50/1

T: T P TateJ: A Mullen

Close up, ridden and outpaced 5f out op 66/1 tchd 40/1

6^th

(10)

Chelsea Corsage

39-0

25/1

T: P W D'ArcyJ: Edward Greatrex

Dwelt, soon tracked leader, pushed along 4f out, weakened 3f out tchd 28/1

7^th

(9)

Zarkavon

39-0

200/1

T: J S WainwrightJ: T Eaves

Raced wide, tracked leaders, ridden 5f out, weakened over 3f out

8^th

(1)

Run For Eva

49-5

150/1

T: Olly WilliamsJ: S H James

Slowly away outpaced and behind

9^th

1 ¼

(12)

My Distant Murphy

39-5

200/1

T: J CowardJ: Cam Hardie

Towards rear, weakened over 4f out

10^th

(6)

Seirios

39-5

66/1

T: Jane Chapple-HyamJ: P Mulrennan

Raced wide, tracked leaders, ridden and weakened halfway tchd 100/1

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Rule 4

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Non-Runners

(2)

Frown²¹

Weight: 9-0| Age: 3

T: R M Beckett J: R Kingscote

(8)

Deshan²⁴

Weight: 9-10| Age: 6

T: Tim Vaughan J: K T O'Neill

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£33.50Pl:£6.10, £1.30, £1.02EX:£155.50Trifecta:£286.60SF:£106.92Swingers:£9.10, £4.80, £1.10

Forecasts

Gakku (4/6), Frown (3/1), Epitaph (9/2), Qasr (8/1), Chelsea Corsage (25/1), Summer Name (33/1), Deshan (33/1), Leodis (50/1), Seirios (66/1), Run For Eva (150/1), Zarkavon (200/1), My Distant Murphy (200/1)

Not a huge amount of strength in depth and the likely favourite Gakku has thrown out some conflicting form in her career so far. If she repeats her Listed run last time she will win easily but the previous two short-priced defeats do cast a shadow on her overall profile. This will be her first time on the surface and although being by Pivotal (18% strike-rate on Fibresand) she’s hardly a rock solid proposition. FROWNhas a tremendous amount to find with the likely favourite on the formbook but she may well show some improvement on her second run and enjoy this stamina test. Epitaph and Qasr are a couple of others to note in this event which makes limited betting appeal.