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15:15 Ascot

Saturday 21 October 2017

All13:2514:0014:4015:1515:5016:30

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1) (Sponsored By Qipco)

Off time: 15:23 | Winning time: 1m 46.13s

1^st

(6)

Persuasive

49-1

8/1

T: J & T GosdenJ: L Dettori

Held up in mid-division, headway chasing leaders 3f out, not clear run and switched left inside final 2f, went 2nd over 1f out, led just inside final furlong, ran on well op 14/1

2^nd

(13)

Ribchester

49-4

2/1f

T: R A FaheyJ: W Buick

Took keen hold early, soon settled tracking leaders, went 2nd going well 3f out, led over 2f out, ridden and edged right over 1f out, headed entering final furlong, stayed on same pace op 15/8 tchd 7/4

3^rd

(1)

Churchill

39-1

9/2

T: A P O'BrienJ: R L Moore

Held up in mid-division, headway towards far side chasing leaders 3f out, keeping on same pace and held when not clearest of runs on far rail over 1f out, 3rd and one pace last strides tchd 4/1 and tchd 5/1

4^th

(9)

Nathra

49-1

50/1

T: J & T GosdenJ: R Havlin

Mid-division, headway chasing leaders 3f out, soon edged right, chance when not clear run and switched left over 1f out, kept on same pace in 3rd inside final furlong, dropped to 4th last strides op 66/1

5^th

4 ½

(2)

Sea Of Grace

38-12

33/1

T: W J HaggasJ: D Tudhope

Held up towards rear, headway on far rail chasing leaders over 2f out, hanging right and weakened over 1f out tchd 40/1

6^th

(14)

Lightning Spear

69-4

40/1

T: D M SimcockJ: Oisin Murphy

Mid-division, headway near side of group chasing leaders 3f out, disputing close 2nd and every chance 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

7^th

(11)

Al Wukair

39-1

7/1

T: A FabreJ: Gregory Benoist

Held up tracking leaders in 5th, ridden and unable to quicken over 2f out, no impression when slightly hampered inside final 2f tchd 8/1

8^th

2 ¾

(8)

Zonderland

49-4

66/1

T: C G CoxJ: A Kirby

Held up towards rear, never involved

9^th

(7)

Here Comes When

79-4

20/1

T: A M BaldingJ: J P Spencer

Held up and behind, never threatened

10^th

(12)

Beat The Bank

39-1

4/1

T: A M BaldingJ: Jim Crowley

Held up and always towards rear tchd 7/2

11^th

(5)

Sir John Lavery

39-1

33/1

T: A P O'BrienJ: J A Heffernan

Chased leaders, pushed along 3f out, weakened over 2f out op 28/1

12^th

3 ¾

(10)

Breton Rock

79-4

66/1

T: D M SimcockJ: Andrea Atzeni

Held up and behind, never involved

13^th

(4)

Toscanini

59-4

100/1

T: R A FaheyJ: James Doyle

Led, pushed along over 3f out, ridden and headed over 2f out, weakening when hampered inside final 2f, behind and eased

14^th

(3)

Lancaster Bomber

39-1

40/1

T: A P O'BrienJ: D O'Brien

Chased leader until over 3f out, hung right and weakened over 2f out op 50/1

15^th

2 ¼

(15)

Thunder Snow

39-1

16/1

T: S bin SuroorJ: C Soumillon

Slowly into stride, always towards rear, behind and eased final 2f, never a factor op 14/1 tchd 20/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£8.60Pl:£2.70, £1.20, £1.90EX:£31.20Trifecta:£152.80Tricast:£87.49SF:£23.05Swingers:£6.70, £10.80, £3.60

Forecasts

Ribchester (2/1), Beat The Bank (4/1), Churchill (9/2), Al Wukair (7/1), Persuasive (8/1), Thunder Snow (16/1), Here Comes When (20/1), Sea Of Grace (33/1), Sir John Lavery (33/1), Lightning Spear (40/1), Lancaster Bomber (40/1), Nathra (50/1), Zonderland (66/1), Breton Rock (66/1), Toscanini (100/1)

RIBCHESTER acts with cut in the ground and was only just beaten in extreme conditions last time out (going stated soft but likely it was heavy). He ought to reverse the form with Here Comes When who isn't without an each-way chance himself. Beat The Bank looks highly progressive and ought to be thereabouts if he takes another step forward while Thunder Snow and Al Wukair hold a similar form line and may be capable of running into a place. Dual 2,000 Guineas winner Churchill can't be ruled out but there's a suspicion the ground has gone against him here.