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19:40 Kempton

Wednesday 4 October 2017

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

32Red Handicap

Off time: 19:43 | Winning time: 1m 37.59s

1^st

(5)

Brigliadoro

69-6

10/1

T: P J McBrideJ: David Probert

Slowly away, held up and behind, headway on outside and still plenty to do over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, led final strides op 12/1

2^nd

(12)

Belgian Bill

99-7

33/1

T: George BakerJ: P Cosgrave

Tracked leader, led approaching final furlong, ran on gamely, caught last strides op 25/1

3^rd

(8)

Eagle Creek

39-4

5/1

T: S & E CrisfordJ: Andrea Atzeni

Held up towards rear, headway on inside chasing leaders over 2f out, switched left and kept on in 2nd inside final furlong, just outpaced into 3rd close home op 9/2

4^th

1 ½

(14)

Brilliant Vanguard

49-5

6/1

T: K A RyanJ: K Stott

Chased leaders, ridden and unable to quicken when hung right over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong op 5/1 tchd 9/2

5^th

(2)

Don't Give Up

39-4

3/1f

T: S bin SuroorJ: Oisin Murphy

Slowly into stride, pushed along and soon chased leaders on inside, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong

6^th

(13)

Big Baz

79-6

8/1

T: W R MuirJ: K Shoemark

Held up towards rear, headway on outside over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong tchd 7/1

7^th

(3)

Omran

39-2

20/1

T: M BottiJ: Daniel Muscutt

Mid-division, headway over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong op 25/1

8^th

(10)

Sultan Baybars

39-0

25/1

T: R VarianJ: David Egan (3)

Held up towards rear, switched left over 2f out, headway towards inside over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong

9^th

(6)

Kentuckyconnection

49-2

25/1

T: B SmartJ: G Lee

Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

10^th

(11)

Early Morning

69-6

25/1

T: H J L DunlopJ: A Kirby

Pushed along to lead, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, chased leader until inside final furlong, weakened soon after

11^th

1 ¾

(1)

Replenish

49-5

10/1

T: J R FanshaweJ: George Wood (3)

Chasing leaders on inside when not much room appeared to lose footing and lost place 6f out, no chance after tchd 8/1

12^th

(9)

Mr Bossy Boots

69-6

33/1

T: Mrs A J PerrettJ: R Kingscote

Mid-division on outside, wide on home turn, soon weakened

13^th

(4)

Gossiping

59-6

12/1

T: G & J MooreJ: S W Kelly

Took keen hold in mid-division, weakened over 2f out op 14/1

14^th

(7)

Manson

49-6

12/1

T: D J S Ffrench DavisJ: James Doyle

Chased leaders, ridden and weakened over 2f out, behind and eased over 1f out op 10/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£11.00Pl:£3.50, £7.10, £2.10EX:£328.80Trifecta:£3,650.50Tricast:£1,894.56SF:£319.35Swingers:£56.60, £15.10, £40.70

Forecasts

Don't Give Up (3/1), Eagle Creek (5/1), Brilliant Vanguard (6/1), Big Baz (8/1), Brigliadoro (10/1), Replenish (10/1), Gossiping (12/1), Manson (12/1), Omran (20/1), Sultan Baybars (25/1), Kentuckyconnection (25/1), Early Morning (25/1), Belgian Bill (33/1), Mr Bossy Boots (33/1)

An ultra competitive 1m handicap in which the four timer seeking Brilliant Vanguard will have to be at his very best in order to continue the winning run from the widest berth of all (stall 14). Many of these horses (most notably Belgian Bill and Early Morning) will appreciate a slight drop in grade and a return to the AW after contesting races such as the Royal Hunt Cup earlier in the year, whilst Manson could feasibly out run his projected odds if back to the form of his Chelmsford third to Mustashry and Masham Star. However, the trio to concentrate upon could well be Don't Give Up, Brigliadoro and BIG BAZ. The selection is becoming seriously well treated from a mark of 94 these days, having tasted success on his last attempt over C&D at Listed level in November 2015 (when rated 108).