19:40 Kempton

Wednesday 4 October 2017

All17:4018:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

32Red Handicap

  • 3YO plus  |   Class 3  |   1m  |   Standard / Slow  |   14 Runners  |   Polytrack  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 19:43  |   Winning time: 1m 37.59s
1st
Horse silk
7
(5)
10/1
T: P J McBrideJ: David Probert
Slowly away, held up and behind, headway on outside and still plenty to do over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, led final strides op 12/1
2nd
Horse silk
hd
1
(12)
33/1
T: George BakerJ: P Cosgrave
Tracked leader, led approaching final furlong, ran on gamely, caught last strides op 25/1
3rd
Horse silk
hd
11
(8)
5/1
T: S & E CrisfordJ: Andrea Atzeni
Held up towards rear, headway on inside chasing leaders over 2f out, switched left and kept on in 2nd inside final furlong, just outpaced into 3rd close home op 9/2
4th
Horse silk
1 ½
8
(14)
6/1
T: K A RyanJ: K Stott
Chased leaders, ridden and unable to quicken when hung right over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong op 5/1 tchd 9/2
5th
Horse silk
hd
10
(2)
3/1f
T: S bin SuroorJ: Oisin Murphy
Slowly into stride, pushed along and soon chased leaders on inside, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong
6th
Horse silk
¾
3
(13)
8/1
T: W R MuirJ: K Shoemark
Held up towards rear, headway on outside over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong tchd 7/1
7th
Horse silk
½
12
(3)
39-2
20/1
T: M BottiJ: Daniel Muscutt
Mid-division, headway over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong op 25/1
8th
Horse silk
½
14
(10)
25/1
T: R VarianJ: David Egan (3)
Held up towards rear, switched left over 2f out, headway towards inside over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong
9th
Horse silk
¾
13
(6)
25/1
T: B SmartJ: G Lee
Chased leaders, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong
10th
Horse silk
¾
5
(11)
25/1
T: H J L DunlopJ: A Kirby
Pushed along to lead, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, chased leader until inside final furlong, weakened soon after
11th
Horse silk
1 ¾
9
(1)
10/1
T: J R FanshaweJ: George Wood (3)
Chasing leaders on inside when not much room appeared to lose footing and lost place 6f out, no chance after tchd 8/1
12th
Horse silk
4
4
(9)
33/1
T: Mrs A J PerrettJ: R Kingscote
Mid-division on outside, wide on home turn, soon weakened
13th
Horse silk
9
6
(4)
12/1
T: G & J MooreJ: S W Kelly
Took keen hold in mid-division, weakened over 2f out op 14/1
14th
Horse silk
sh
2
(7)
49-6
12/1
T: D J S Ffrench DavisJ: James Doyle
Chased leaders, ridden and weakened over 2f out, behind and eased over 1f out op 10/1

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£11.00Pl:£3.50, £7.10, £2.10EX:£328.80Trifecta:£3,650.50Tricast:£1,894.56SF:£319.35Swingers:£56.60, £15.10, £40.70

Forecasts

Don't Give Up (3/1), Eagle Creek (5/1), Brilliant Vanguard (6/1), Big Baz (8/1), Brigliadoro (10/1), Replenish (10/1), Gossiping (12/1), Manson (12/1), Omran (20/1), Sultan Baybars (25/1), Kentuckyconnection (25/1), Early Morning (25/1), Belgian Bill (33/1), Mr Bossy Boots (33/1)

Verdict

An ultra competitive 1m handicap in which the four timer seeking Brilliant Vanguard will have to be at his very best in order to continue the winning run from the widest berth of all (stall 14). Many of these horses (most notably Belgian Bill and Early Morning) will appreciate a slight drop in grade and a return to the AW after contesting races such as the Royal Hunt Cup earlier in the year, whilst Manson could feasibly out run his projected odds if back to the form of his Chelmsford third to Mustashry and Masham Star. However, the trio to concentrate upon could well be Don't Give Up, Brigliadoro and BIG BAZ. The selection is becoming seriously well treated from a mark of 94 these days, having tasted success on his last attempt over C&D at Listed level in November 2015 (when rated 108).
  1. Big Baz
  2. Don't Give Up
  3. Brigliadoro

Prize Money

1st: £7,159.002nd: £2,144.003rd: £1,072.004th: £536.005th: £268.006th: £135.00

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