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15:10 Stratford

Thursday 3 August 2017

All13:3014:0014:3515:1015:4516:2016:55

Ian Bird Memorial Novices' Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:10 | Winning time: 4m 39.6s

1^st

Theo

711-10

10/11f

T: Dr R D P NewlandJ: Sam Twiston-Davies

Held up in mid-division on outside, headway 4 out, 2nd on last bend, shaken up to lead flat, ridden out op 4/6 tchd 8/13

2^nd

Capsy De Mee

511-10

5/1

T: Jamie SnowdenJ: James Davies

Tracked leaders, led 2 out, ridden and headed last, edged left flat, no impression towards finish op 11/2 tchd 9/2

3^rd

Fair To Middling

711-1

6/1

T: P & M BowenJ: S Bowen

Narrow lead until 6th, led next, headed 9th, outpaced after 2 out, stayed on flat op 11/1

4^th

2 ¾

Pemba

511-11

6/1

T: F O'BrienJ: P J Brennan

With leader, led 6th, headed when not fluent next (water), led 9th, headed 2 out, faded into 4th flat tchd 13/2

5^th

Exitas

911-12

18/1

T: P W MiddletonJ: Conor Shoemark

Chased leaders, outpaced when not fluent 2 out, weakened after next op 25/1

6^th

While You Wait

811-10

25/1

T: Mrs S GardnerJ: Lucy Gardner (3)

Held up in rear, headway 9th, no impression, weakened 3 out op 20/1

7^th

My Mo

511-10

20/1

T: David DennisJ: T J O'Brien

Held up in mid-division, lost place before 8th, behind 4 out, tailed off tchd 25/1

8^th

Earls Fort

711-6

12/1

T: N P MulhollandJ: N D Fehily

Held up in rear, not fluent 7th (water) or 9th, struggling after, behind 4 out, tailed off op 11/1 tchd 14/1

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Non-Runners

Raleagh Mountain⁸⁹

Weight: 10-12| Age: 6

T: D Skelton J: Harry Skelton

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.60Pl:£1.10, £2.10, £2.00EX:£6.80Trifecta:£25.30Tricast:£18.90SF:£6.89Swingers:£2.70, £2.10, £5.60

Forecasts

Theo (10/11), Capsy De Mee (5/1), Fair To Middling (6/1), Pemba (6/1), Earls Fort (12/1), Raleagh Mountain (12/1), Exitas (18/1), My Mo (20/1), While You Wait (25/1)

Theo has been in super for Dr Richard Newland, racking up an impressive hat-trick over timber and will be a major player if taking to these larger obstacles. That is, of course, open to debate until he does it and so he might be worth taking at the forecast prices. WHILE YOU WAIT doesn't always turn up but he nonetheless won four times and placed five more from 21 hurdles starts for an impressive 28% strike rate. He won at Towcester in May and definitely stays this far so he, also on chase bow, looks an interesting contender and could prove up to this. Capsy De Mee is a well-related French bumper winner who should excel jumping fences while Fair To Middling and Pemba are others with potential in this sphere.