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15:10 Curragh

Saturday 1 July 2017

All14:0014:3515:1015:4016:1016:4017:2018:00

Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Celebration Stakes (Listed)

Off time: 15:11 | Winning time: 1m 38.21s

1^st

(5)

True Valour

39-0

6/1

T: J P MurtaghJ: S Foley

Rear of mid-division on inner, progress into 3rd and pushed along 3f out, ridden to lead on inner 1f out, stayed on well final furlong op 7/1

2^nd

(4)

Sea Wolf

59-9

2/1f

T: G M LyonsJ: C T Keane

Towards rear, progress on outer into 7th 2f out, soon ridden, went 4th f out, kept on well to go 2nd close home op 15/8

3^rd

(7)

Alexios Komnenos

39-0

4/1

T: J A StackJ: C D Hayes

Mid-division, 5th 3f out, headway and ridden 1 1/2f out, led briefly over 1f out, headed 1f out, kept on under pressure inside final furlong op 9/2

4^th

1 ½

(1)

Flight Risk

610-0

4/1

T: J S BolgerJ: K J Manning

Slowly away and held up in last, ridden 2f out, headway into 5th 1f out, kept on same pace final furlong op 7/2

5^th

2 ¼

(2)

Texas Rock

69-12

12/1

T: M C GrassickJ: W J Lee

Led, ridden and strongly pressed 2f out, headed over 1f out, soon no impression

6^th

(6)

Foxtrot Charlie

49-9

33/1

T: D K WeldJ: P J Smullen

Chased leaders in 3rd, went 2nd 2f out, soon ridden, no impression 1f out op 25/1

7^th

(9)

Mjjack

39-0

10/1

T: K R BurkeJ: C O'Donoghue

Mid-division on outer, 6th 3f out, soon ridden, no impression over 1f out op 7/1

8^th

(3)

Dragon Fei

79-4

14/1

T: D A McLoughlinJ: L F Roche

Chased leader in 2nd, ridden 3f out, soon weakened

9^th

(8)

Misty Birnam

49-9

33/1

T: J A StackJ: W M Lordan

Chased leaders, ridden in 5th 2f out, soon weakened

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:€7.00Pl:€2.10, €1.10, €1.70EX:€27.00Trifecta:€66.90SF:€18.65

Forecasts

Sea Wolf (2/1), Alexios Komnenos (4/1), Flight Risk (4/1), True Valour (6/1), Mjjack (10/1), Texas Rock (12/1), Dragon Fei (14/1), Foxtrot Charlie (33/1), Misty Birnam (33/1)

Flight Risk was a Group 3 winner last time out on seasonal bow and must be respected on that showing, but his overall profile means he can be bypassed for win purposes at the likely prices. Sea Wolf scored over C&D last time and, conversely, has a terrific strike-rate so is not to be overlooked quickly. Dragon Fei has been in super form but may find the trip sharp enough while British raider Mjjack could improve and have a say. Both runners from the Stack yard are intriguing. Misty Birnam shouldn't be harshly judged on his Irish debut over an inadequate trip at Cork and the ex-Mike De Kock inmate could leave behind but stablemate ALEXIOS KOMNENOS gets the nod here. A maiden winner first time out last summer, he then ran Churchill to a neck in a Group 3 contest at Leopardstown, form that stands out in this context. If he's ready to roll, he looks the one to beat.