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15:30 Musselburgh

Wednesday 1 March 2017

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:00

totetrifecta At betfred.com Handicap Chase

Off time: 15:30 | Winning time: 5m 12.7s

1^st

Pekanheim

911-5

1/1f

T: M TodhunterJ: A Nicol

Tracked front pair, went 2nd at 8th, led 5 out, hard pressed after 3 out, ridden and kept on under pressure flat, just held on op 10/11

2^nd

Treat Yourself

1011-12

5/2

T: Micky HammondJ: Finian O'Toole (5)

Held up in 4th, chased front pair after 5 out, went 2nd next, driven to challenge after 3 out, every chance last, ridden flat, kept on towards finish, just held op 3/1 tchd 9/4

3^rd

Gin Cobbler

1111-6

15/2

T: V ThompsonJ: Thomas Dowson (5)

Led, headed 5 out, lost place next, no chance with front pair from 3 out, just held on for modest 3rd near finish op 7/1 tchd 17/2

4^th

Daydream Island

711-2

14/1

T: Mrs S WaltonJ: Henry Brooke

In rear, reminder after 8th, struggling 5 out, late headway before last, stayed on to dispute modest 3rd flat, no chance with leaders op 20/1 tchd 11/1

5^th

4 ½

The Ice Factor

910-7

8/1

T: Mrs A C HamiltonJ: Jamie Hamilton (3)

Tracked leader to 8th, in touch, lost place after 5 out, soon outpaced, no chance with leaders from next, weakened before last op 17/2

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Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£1.90Pl:£1.10, £1.60EX:£3.20Trifecta:£10.50SF:£3.91

Forecasts

Pekanheim (1/1), Treat Yourself (5/2), Gin Cobbler (15/2), The Ice Factor (8/1), Daydream Island (14/1)

With the greatest of respect to connections, this is far from a strong handicap chase. Treat Yourself is the interesting horse in the race having plummeted in the weights since moving from Ireland, and he looks primed to run a big race on this better ground. However, whilst he adores Hexham, it's impossible to overlook GIN COBBLER with the suspicion that he's more than capable of running these under-performing rivals ragged from the front if gifted a soft lead. In such a poor race he's worth chancing. 1. Gin Cobbler 2. Treat Yourself 3. Pekanheim