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16:30 Newcastle

Thursday 12 January 2017

All14:0014:3015:0015:3016:0016:3017:00

Sunbets.co.uk Handicap

Off time: 16:31 | Winning time: 1m 32.04s

1^st

(2)

Flaming Spear

59-2

3/1f

T: K A RyanJ: R Winston

Hood removed slightly late, slowly into stride, held up towards rear, trapped behind wall of horses and plenty to do over 1f out, switched right and strong burst well inside final furlong, led near finish op 7/1 tchd 11/4

2^nd

(14)

Fort Bastion

88-7

20/1

T: B EllisonJ: T Eaves

Slowly into stride, held up and behind, good headway near side over 1f out, strong run inside final furlong, finished well and went 2nd last strides, not pace of winner op 22/1 tchd 25/1

3^rd

(5)

Al Khan

88-9

33/1

T: K A RyanJ: K Stott

Held up in rear, good headway far side over 1f out, ran on to lead well inside final furlong, headed near finish, lost 2nd last strides tchd 25/1

4^th

(6)

Holiday Magic

68-11

4/1

T: M & D EasterbyJ: Nathan Evans (3)

Tracked leaders and keen, 2nd over 2f out, ridden to lead inside final furlong, headed and lost two places towards finish op 9/2

5^th

(7)

Suzi's Connoisseur

69-0

20/1

T: S C WilliamsJ: J Fanning

Held up towards rear, headway far side over 1f out, not clear run and switched left to far rail inside final furlong, finished well, not reach leaders op 16/1

6^th

(10)

Nimr

48-10

9/2

T: R A FaheyJ: T Hamilton

Raced keenly, tracked leader, led narrowly halfway, ridden and headed inside final furlong, no extra towards finish op 7/2 tchd 6/1

7^th

(11)

Shyron

68-10

33/1

T: G G MargarsonJ: Jane Elliott (7)

Raced keenly, tracked leaders, ridden and every chance 1f out, weakened towards finish op 50/1

8^th

(4)

Grey Mirage

88-12

50/1

T: Miss Gay KellewayJ: L Morris

Took keen hold, held up in touch, pushed along over 1f out, kept on same pace and no impression inside final furlong op 40/1 tchd 33/1

9^th

(13)

Qaffaal

68-6

6/1

T: M & D EasterbyJ: J P Sullivan

Raced keenly and reluctant leader at slow pace, headed halfway, chased leader until over 2f out, chased leaders, weakened inside final furlong op 11/2 tchd 5/1

10^th

(1)

Horsted Keynes

78-10

33/1

T: D M SimcockJ: S W Kelly

Held up in rear, running on when not clear run well inside final furlong, finished on the bridle but never able to challenge op 22/1

11^th

(9)

Pactolus

68-11

14/1

T: S C WilliamsJ: Aaron Jones (3)

Took keen hold, tracked leaders, weakened inside final furlong tchd 12/1

12^th

1 ¼

(3)

Volunteer Point

59-0

14/1

T: M R ChannonJ: M Harley

Raced keenly, tracked leaders, pushed along over 2f out, weakened inside final furlong op 10/1

13^th

(12)

Steel Train

69-5

8/1

T: D O'MearaJ: Patrick Vaughan (7)

Held up in touch near side, weakened over 1f out op 9/1 tchd 7/1

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Non-Runners

(8)

Realize²¹

Weight: 9-10| Age: 7

T: S C Williams J: Non Runner

Betting Breakdown

Tote Win:£3.70Pl:£1.60, £7.10, £8.40EX:£129.50Trifecta:£2,771.60Tricast:£1,760.22SF:£72.57Swingers:£15.80, £25.70, £64.80

Forecasts

Flaming Spear (3/1), Holiday Magic (4/1), Nimr (9/2), Qaffaal (6/1), Realize (7/1), Steel Train (8/1), Pactolus (14/1), Volunteer Point (14/1), Fort Bastion (20/1), Suzi's Connoisseur (20/1), Al Khan (33/1), Shyron (33/1), Horsted Keynes (33/1), Grey Mirage (50/1)

QAFFAAL has the kind of running style that the handicapper has struggled to get to grips with and was only just beaten by a C&D specialist last time out. The suspicion is he's still well handicapped and while he needs things to drop right for him, he looks the most likely winner here. Stablemate Holiday Magic isn't without a chance but he may find it tougher to dominate at this track. This may be why his trainer has opted to use talented claimer Nathan Evans on his back; he's a dab hand when it comes to front-running rides. Nimr may have been let off by the handicapper, only up 3lb for winning what looked like a hot race. He's still low mileage so there's a good chance he can progress. 1. Qaffaal 2. Holiday Magic 3. Nimr