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12:35 Leopardstown

Friday 27 December 2024

All12:0512:3513:1013:4514:2015:0015:30

Paddy Power From The Horses Mouth Podcast Beginners Chase

Off time: 12:35 | Winning time: 4m 15.5s

Settings

Selected odds by:

Backtonormal²⁰

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: K M Donoghue| T: G P Cromwell| D

40/1

Useful chaser. 1 win from 3 runs this season. Below form ninth of 18 in novice chase at Navan (20.7f, soft, 12/1) 20 days ago. Looks vulnerable in a field consisting of some potentially smart novices.

Form: 2331-59

Doctor Glide¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: B W Harvey| T: Tom Dreaper

200/1

Fair hurdler. 150/1, fifth of 10 in novice chase at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft) 13 days ago, not knocked about. Easy enough to look elsewhere.

Form: 4032-P5

It's For Me^h⁴⁰⁷

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: D A Jacob| T: W P Mullins

11/8

Lightly-raced winner under Rules. Form of the maiden hurdle he won at Punchestown (16.5f, soft) when last seen in November 2023 looks strong (second has since won a Grade 1) and he looks the pick of the 4 Willie Mullins-trained representatives, a yard which has won this race 3 times since 2019.

Form: 1155/1-

Jeannot Lapin²⁴⁴

Age: 5| Weight: 11-12| J: R A Doyle| T: G O'Loughlin

150/1

£3,000 5-y-o, Doctor Dino gelding. Dam, placed over fences in France, half-sister to Champion Hurdle winner Epatante. Placed both completed starts between the flags but best watched on this Rules debut.

Form: 33P-

Mint Boy¹³

Age: 6| Weight: 11-12| J: S W Flanagan| T: G P Cromwell

66/1

Useful hurdler. 4/1, seventh of 9 in novice chase at Fairyhouse (21f, good to soft) 13 days ago. Should have more to offer, albeit he may well come into his own in handicaps later on.

Form: 5217-37

No Flies On Him²⁰

Age: 5| Weight: 11-12| J: M M McDonagh| T: E J O'Grady| C

50/1

Useful hurdler. 50/1, thirteenth of 18 in novice chase at Navan (20.7f, soft) 20 days ago. Perhaps better judged on his encouraging chase debut sixth at the same course last month, albeit he has plenty to find with Nurburgring and Birdie Or Bust on that evidence. Still, there is potential there.

Form: 127P-60

Shanbally Kid¹¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: M J M O'Sullivan| T: W P Mullins| D

33/1

Useful hurdler. 16/1, eighth of 12 in novice chase at Naas (20.1f, good to soft) 11 days ago. May well do better in time but, of the yard's 4 runners in this contest, he is perhaps the one with the least scope for improvement.

Form: 18/483-8

The Big Doyen¹⁷⁸

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: D J O'Keeffe| T: Peter Fahey

28/1

Useful hurdler. Hooded for 1st time, respectable fourth of 12 in novice chase at Tipperary (17.3f, good to soft, 10/3) 178 days ago. Should win races in this sphere but unlikely that he will prove good enough on this occasion.

Form: 123P-44

Western Diego^h²⁷¹

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: S F O'Keeffe| T: W P Mullins

16/1

Useful hurdler. Latest win at Fairyhouse in January. Off 9 months ahead of this chase debut. Winner of sole start between the flags, which augurs well ahead of this switch to the larger obstacles. Interesting to see how he shapes up in the betting, particularly in relation to his 3 stablemates.

Form: 178/513-

What's Up Darling²⁰

Age: 7| Weight: 11-12| J: Sam Ewing| T: G Elliott

15/2

Promising individual. Useful 2m winner over hurdles. 11/2, fourth of 18 in novice chase at Navan (20.7f, soft) on debut over fences 20 days ago. Open to progress in this sphere and he's a strong each-way candidate.

Form: 5264-24

In The Trenches¹³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-6| J: K E Buckley| T: G P Cromwell

150/1

Fair hurdler. Eighth of 10 in novice chase at Fairyhouse (16.5f, good to soft, 80/1) on debut over fences 13 days ago. Readily passed over.

Form: 222338

Nurburgring^t³³

Age: 4| Weight: 11-6| J: J J Slevin| T: J P O'Brien| D

10/3

Promising individual. Useful 13f winner on the Flat and smart novice over hurdles last season, winning 3 of his 7 starts in that sphere. Creditable 8¼ lengths third of 8 to Touch Me Not in Craddockstown Novices' Chase at Punchestown (16.3f, good to soft, 3/1) 33 days ago. Big player.

Form: 343-133

Birdie Or Bust⁴¹

Age: 6| Weight: 11-5| J: Rachael Blackmore| T: H De Bromhead

11/4

Promising sort. Fourth of 9 in novice chase (11/2) at Navan (17f, good to soft) on debut over fences 41 days ago, not knocked about. Yard has won this twice in recent years and she's a strong candidate.

Form: 13513-4

Non-Runners

Lisnagar Fortune³⁴⁸

Weight: 11-12| Age: 6

T: W P Mullins J: D E Mullins

Forecasts

It's For Me (11/8), Birdie Or Bust (11/4), Nurburgring (10/3), Lisnagar Fortune (6/1), What's Up Darling (15/2), Western Diego (16/1), The Big Doyen (28/1), Shanbally Kid (33/1), Backtonormal (40/1), No Flies On Him (50/1), Mint Boy (66/1), Jeannot Lapin (150/1), In The Trenches (150/1), Doctor Glide (200/1)

This has the makings of an informative race and BIRDIE OR BUST could be the answer. She signed off her novice hurdle campaign by finishing third in a Grade 2 at the Cheltenham Festival and wasn't far behind Nurburgring, who had race-fitness on his side, when fourth on chase debut at Navan. Nurburgring is a much-respected main danger, while It's For Me, who took the notable scalp of Caldwell Potter on his sole hurdles start 13 months ago, is a fascinating chasing debutant.